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John Neff

14.3%
Compound annual over 24 years


Fund or affiliation
  • Windsor Fund, Wellington Management

Methodology

  • Value investing with a stress on dividend income.

Research Techniques Employed

  • Neff has access to the analysts in his parent company, Wellington Management.
  • Although Neff doesn’t ordinarily visit companies, he talks to them at length.

Trading/ Valuation Techniques Employed

  • Only buys when a stock is too cheap and acting badly at that moment in the market. Infallibly sells when it is too expensive and acting strongly in the market.
  • Tolerates portfolio concentration in industry groups.
  • Average holding is 1/3 lower than market P/E, and with dividend yield 2% higher.
  • ( Growth Rate + Dividend Yield ) / PER = "What you get for what you pay"
Philosophy and beliefs
  • Insistence on income: people overpay for growth.
  • Growth stocks suffer from high mortality.
  • Often can get better total return from slower growth companies paying high dividend.

History and other facts

  • Choice of money managers themselves to manage their own money.
  • Windsor (in 1988) has become one of the largest equity and income fund in USA.
  • In 1980, U. Penn asked Neff to manage its endowment.
  • Issues "Report Card" on his transactions.
  • Part of the pay package of Neff and his team is an incentive fee.

Examples

  • Went 25% of assets into oil stocks after collapse of OPEC in 1986.
  • Bought Ford heavily in early 1984 at under $14, 3 years later Ford reached $50.

Performance Record

  • 14.3% over 24 years: "Neff has run the Windsor Fund for 24 years. Through 1988 it had a compound annual return of 14.3% versus S&P’s 9.4% over the same period", J.Train, NMM pp. 138