Optimal cordon-based congestion pricing with continuously distributed value-of-time
Professor Qiang Meng
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, National University of Singapore, Singapore
23 February, 2012 (Thursday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 23 February, 2012 (Thursday)
Time : 2:30 p.m. - 3:30 p.m.
Venue : Room 3574 (Lift 27/28), Civil Engineering Department Conference Room, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
ABSTRACT
This talk introduces the optimal distance-based toll design problem for the cordon-based congestion pricing schemes such as the ERP (Electronic Road Pricing) system, aiming at estimating an optimal toll-charge function in the case of continuously distributed value-of-time (VOT).The proposed problem can be formulated as a model of mathematical programming with equilibrium constraints (MPEC), with the objective of maximizing total social benefit. This MPEC model is approximated by a mixed-integer MPEC model for the convenience of calculation. A Hybrid Genetic Algorithm - CA method is then designed to solve the mixed-integer MPEC problem. Finally, two network examples are used to assess the proposed models and algorithms.
SPEAKER
Dr. Qiang Meng is an Associate Professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and a Tracker Leader in the Centre for Maritime Studies, National University of Singapore. He received his PhD in the Department of Civil Engineering at the Hong Kong University of Science & Technology in 2000. His research interests include maritime transportation network analysis, transportation network modeling and optimization, and quantitative risk assessment of transport infrastructures. He has led three research projects on maritime studies with the total amount of about HK$6 millions in the past three years. He has also published more than 85 papers on the international peer-reviewed journals including Transportation Research Series (Part B, C, and E), Transportation Science, European Journal of Operational Research and Risk Analysis. He is an editorial board member of Journal of Advanced Transportation and Transportmetrica, a member of Scientific Committee of the World Conference on Transportation Research (WCTR) Society and a member of Freight Transportation Planning and Logistics Committee of Transportation Research Board (TRB).
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor Hai Yang at Tel.: 2358-7178
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Rebecca Yau at Tel.: 2358-7164
Statistical inference for origin-destination matrices
Professor Martin L. Hazelton
Chair of Statistics, Institute of Fundamental Sciences Massey University Manawatu, Palmerston North, New Zealand
22 February, 2012 (Wednesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 22 February, 2012 (Wednesday)
Time : 5:00 p.m. - 6:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W703d, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Estimation of origin-destination (OD) matrices is a classical problem in transportation science, and has interested the speaker for 15 years. This seminar will provide an overview of Professor Hazelton’s work in this area. Topics covered will include: What are we really trying to estimate? A look at specification of OD matrices, and a comparison of reconstruction, estimation and prediction problems. Statistical identifiability: estimation of OD matrices from link counts, and the use of second-order properties of the data to help resolve indeterminacy problems. Likelihood and Bayesian methods for link count data: point estimation of OD flow rates and associated measurement of precision. The effects of measurement error: what happens when the recorded link counts are subject to non-negligible error? The impact of sporadic routing information: how should we incorporate explicit routing information on a fraction of vehicles? The seminar will conclude with some comments on related problems, and thoughts on future research directions.
SPEAKER
Prof. Martin Hazelton was educated at the University of Oxford where he read mathematics as an undergraduate before taking a PhD in statistics (on kernel smoothing methods). His introduction to transport research came immediately after his PhD, when he worked for a year as a research associate in the field. His next appointment was as a lecturer in statistical science at University College London. He then moved to the University of Western Australia where he spent almost ten year as a lecturer (then senior lecturer and associate professor) in statistics. In 2006, he took up his current position as Chair of Statistics at Massey University in New Zealand, becoming at the time the youngest full professor of statistics in Australasia. Prof. Hazelton's research interests are varied. In addition to working on statistical problems in transportation research, he also has a continuing interest in smoothing methods and spatial statistics, particularly with applications in epidemiology. His current work on statistical inference for transport networks is supported by a Marsden Grant, administered by the Royal Society of New Zealand.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William H.K. Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070, Fax:
2334-6389, or Email: cecfylam@polyu.edu.hk.
Some dynamic traffic models
Professor Enrique Castillo
University of Cantabria, Spain
30 December, 2011 (Friday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 30 December, 2011 (Friday)
Time : 5:00 p.m. - 6:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 3574 (Lift 27/28), Civil Engineering Department Conference Room, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
ABSTRACT
Two dynamic traffic models are presented: (a) a FIFO rule consistent model for the continuous dynamic network loading problem, and (b) a stochastic demand dynamic traffic model. The first model aims at determining the traffic evolution due to a deterministic time-varying demand. The model consists of five units: a path origin flow wave definition unit, a path wave propagation unit, a congestion analysis unit, a network flow propagation unit and an inference engine unit. The path flow intensity wave, which is the basic information, is modeled as a linear combination of basic waves. Next, the individual path waves are propagated throughout the paths by using a conservation equation that stretches or enlarges the wave lengths and increases or reduces the wave heights depending on the degree of congestion at the different links. Then, the individual path waves are combined together to generate the link and node waves. Finally, the inference engine unit combines all information items to make them compatible in times and locations using the above mentioned iterative method until convergence. In the second part, a stochastic demand dynamic traffic model to predict some traffic variables such as link travel times, link flows or link densities and their time evolution in real networks is presented. The model is able to provide a point estimate, a confidence interval or the density of the variable being predicted. To this end, a closed formula for the conditional future variable values (link travel times or flows) given the available past variable information, is provided. The model is applicable to very large networks. Finally, the models are illustrated by their application to the Nguyen Dupuis, the Ciudad Real and Cuenca networks and the Vermont-State example. The resulting traffic predictions seem to be promising for real traffic networks and can be done in real time.
SPEAKER
Enrique Castillo was born in Spain and studied Civil Engineering at the Polytechnical University of Madrid, and Mathematics at the Complutensis University of Madrid. He got two Ph. D. degrees in Civil Engineering from Northwestern University and the Polytechnical University of Madrid. He has participated in more than 40 research projects and has authored 14 books in English and 15 in Spanish. He has presented 165 publications in Congresses and 226 papers published in 106 different journals. He has delivered talks, seminars and courses in 22 universities in Spain and 21 foreign universities. He has directed 35 Ph. D. theses (22 in Engineering, 9 in Mathematics, 2 in Informatics, 1 in Medicine, 1 in Economics) and has been Editor, Associated Editor and referee for more than 40 international journals, and advisor of 8 institutions or editorial companies. He is a Member of the Spanish Academy of Engineering and of the Spanish Academy of Sciences. He has been honored with the National prize in Engineering Research and with the Honoris Causa Doctorate by the Universities of Oviedo and Castilla-La Mancha. His main fields of research are: Extreme value distributions, optimization and operations research, functional equations, artificial Intelligence and Bayesian networks, modeling of Engineering problems, functional networks, and since very recently Traffic Engineering.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor Hong Lo at Tel.: 2358-8389
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Rebecca Yau at Tel.: 2358-7164
Regulation, privatization, and airport charges: panel data evidence from European airports
Professor Anming Zhang
Professor in Operations and Logistics, YVR Authority Chair in Air Transportation, Sauder School of Business, University of British Columbia (UBC), Canada
20 December, 2011 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 20 December, 2011 (Tuesday)
Time : 4:00 p.m. - 5:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W703d, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
This presentation examines the determinants of airport aeronautical charges by employing a unique panel dataset covering sixty-one European airports over an eighteen-year period. The speaker and his team are able to extend the literature on the role of airports as an essential element in transport infrastructure by offering the first analysis of the impact of different regulatory policies and privatization on airport charges in a panel data setting where fixed effects can be employed to mitigate endogeneity concerns. Their main empirical results indicate that aeronautical charges are lower at airports when single-till regulation is employed, when airports are privatized, and - tentatively - when ex post price regulation is applied. Furthermore, hub airports generally set higher aeronautical charges, and it appears that price-cap regulation and the presence of nearby airports do not affect aeronautical charges.
SPEAKER
Prof. Anming Zhang is a Professor in Operations and Logistics and holds YVR Authority Chair in Air Transportation at the University of British Columbia (UBC), Canada. He received a B.Sc. from Shanghai Jiao Tong University, China, M.Sc. and Ph.D. from UBC. Prof. Zhang is the recipient of the "Yokohama Special Prize for Outstanding Young Researcher" awarded at the 7th World Conference on Transportation Research (WCTR) in Sydney, Australia in 1995, and is the recipient of the "WCTR-Society Prize," awarded to the overall best paper of the 8th WCTR in Antwerp, Belgium in 1998. More recently, he received two awards from the Canadian Transportation Research Forum for his research in transportation economics and policy. Prof. Zhang has published over 90 refereed journal papers in the areas of transportation and industrial organization. He has co-authored three recent books: Globalization and Strategic Alliances: The Case of the Airline Industry, 2000, Pergamon Press, Oxford; Air Cargo in Mainland China and Hong Kong, 2004, Ashgate, London; and Air Cargo Logistics in China (in Chinese), 2005, Aviation Industry Publishers, Beijing.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William H.K. Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070, Fax:
2334-6389, or Email: cecfylam@polyu.edu.hk.
Models for quantifying safety and mobility benefits of winter road maintenance
Professor Liping Fu
Director of iTSS Lab, Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, University of Waterloo, Canada
20 December, 2011 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 20 December, 2011 (Tuesday)
Time : 5:00 p.m. - 6:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W703d, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
By keeping roads clear of snow and ice, winter road maintenance (WRM) activities are intuitively beneficial to the safety and mobility of highway networks in winter seasons. There is however no robust methodology currently available for quantifying these benefits, which is needed for justifying the high costs of WRM operations and conducting comprehensive cost-benefit evaluations of various WRM related decisions. In this talk, the speaker will present the latest findings of his empirical investigation on the effect of winter weather and road maintenance on road safety and mobility. In particular, the speaker will introduce a set of statistical safety and mobility effect models, which were developed using a unique data set containing detailed hourly records of road weather and surface conditions, traffic counts, and collisions on 31 highways from Ontario, Canada, over six winter seasons. Several case studies are used to illustrate the applications of these models for evaluating alternative winter maintenance policies and operations, such as shortening bare pavement recovery time, changing maintenance operation deployment time, and raising level of service standards.
SPEAKER
Prof. Liping Fu is a Professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Director of the Innovative Transportation System Solutions (iTSS) Lab at the University of Waterloo, Canada. Dr. Fu's research interest specifically focuses on evaluation and optimisation of large, complex traffic and transportation service systems where uncertainty and dynamics play a major role, and on the development of decision support tools for use in managing these systems. Dr. Fu has a track record of research contributions to the areas of intelligent transportation systems, public transit, road safety, and winter road maintenance. Dr. Fu holds a patent and several software copyrights, including a commercial paratransit routing, scheduling and simulation system and a web application highway-railway grade crossings risk analysis. He has provided technical services to many transportation agencies, including Transport Canada, Ministry of Transportation Ontario, various municipalities in Canada. Dr. Fu has served on numerous technical committees of various professional organizations, including Transportation Research Board’s Committee, Editorial Advisory Board of the journal of Transportation Research, Intelligent Transportation Systems Society of Canada, Canadian Urban Transit Association, and Institute of Transportation Engineers. He is the Chair of Transportation of Division of Canadian Society for Civil Engineering.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William H.K. Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070, Fax:
2334-6389, or Email: cecfylam@polyu.edu.hk.
Statistical inference for transport networks
Professor Martin L. Hazelton
Massey University, New Zealand
27 October, 2011 (Thursday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 27 October, 2011 (Thursday)
Time : 5:00 p.m. - 6:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 3574 (Lift 27/28), Civil Engineering Department Conference Room, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
ABSTRACT
Network-based models of road traffic systems underpin a
vast array of transport management and planning activities. For practical application, such transport
models must be calibrated for the traffic system under consideration. The importance of the stage of the
modelling process must not be underestimated: it will often be better to employ a simple model that is
easy to calibrate rather than use a more detailed (and realistic) model for which calibration is difficult.
Model selection and calibration give rise to a wide range of statistical inference problems. Examples
include estimation patterns of travel demand over the network, calibration of microsimulation models of
traffic flow, and inference for network-based vehicle emissions models. The most readily available type
of data for these problems comprises traffic counts on a set of network links. However, these counts do
not uniquely determine the route flows, leading to a statistical linear inverse problem structure. In
this talk we discuss how this common structure may be used to develop improved tools for inference with
wide applicability in transportation science.
SPEAKER
Martin Hazelton was educated at the University of Oxford where he read mathematics as an undegraduate before taking a PhD in statistics (on kernel smoothing methods). Martin's introduction to transport research came immediately after his PhD, when he worked for a year as a research associate in the field. Martin's next appointment was as a lecturer in statistical science at University College London. He then moved to the University of Western Austern Australia where he spent almost ten year as a lecturer (then senior lecturer and associate professor) in statistics. In 2006 Martin took up his current position as Chair of Statistics at Massey University in New Zealand, becoming at the time the youngest full professor of statistics in Australasia. Martin's research interests are varied. In addition to working on statistical problems in transportation research, he also has a continuing interest in smoothing methods and spatial statistics, particularly with applications in epidemiology. His current work on statistical inference for transport networks is supported by a Marsden Grant, administered by the Royal Society of New Zealand.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor Hong Lo at Tel.: 2358-8389
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Rebecca Yau at Tel.: 2358-7164
Price discrimination, social welfare and congestion charges
Professor Anming Zhang
Sauder School of Business, University of British Columbia, Canada
7 October, 2011 (Friday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 7 October, 2011 (Friday)
Time : 4:00 p.m. - 5:15 p.m.
Venue : Room 3574 (Lift 27/28), Civil Engineering Department Conference Room, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
ABSTRACT
The welfare effect of third-degree price discrimination in airline markets is analyzed. The model features two types of passengers with different time valuations, oligopoly carriers and a congested infrastructure. The main result is that price discrimination always leads to a loss of social welfare when, in the first stage, the congestion charge is chosen to maximize welfare by incorporating carriers’ Cournot behavior in the second stage.
SPEAKER
Anming Zhang is a Professor in Operations and Logistics and holds YVR Authority Chair in Air Transportation at the University of British Columbia (UBC). He received a BSc from Shanghai Jiao Tong University, MSc and PhD from UBC. Dr. Zhang is the recipient of the "Yokohama Special Prize for Outstanding Young Researcher" awarded at the 7th World Conference on Transportation Research (WCTR) in Sydney, Australia in 1995, and is the recipient of the "WCTR-Society Prize," awarded to the overall best paper of the 8th WCTR in Antwerp, Belgium in 1998. More recently, he received two awards from the Canadian Transportation Research Forum for his research in transportation economics and policy. Dr. Zhang has published over 90 refereed journal papers in the areas of transportation and industrial organization. He has co-authored three recent books: Globalization and Strategic Alliances: The Case of the Airline Industry, 2000, Pergamon Press, Oxford; Air Cargo in Mainland China and Hong Kong, 2004, Ashgate, London; and Air Cargo Logistics in China (in Chinese), 2005, Aviation Industry Publishers, Beijing.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor Hai Yang at Tel.: 2358-7178
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Rebecca Yau at Tel.: 2358-7164
Sustainable transport development: An achievable aim?
Dr. Wafaa Saleh
Transport Research Institute (TRI), Edinburgh Napier University, UK
14 June, 2011 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
Institute of Transport Studies, The University of Hong Kong
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 14 June, 2011 (Tuesday)
Time : 6:00 p.m. - 7:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 6-12B, 6/F, Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
With increasing attention on climate changes and their impacts on sustainability, which is caused by the emission of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere, more research is being conducted looking at environmental issues and the impact of emissions on local and global air quality. Upon the principle of “the polluter pays”, or that those who are causing environmental harm by producing or utilising energy shall bear the cost of its remedy, investigations of transport policies which are specifically intended to reduce emissions and improve air quality are needed. Road use pricing for example, has become a popular policy for managing the demand for travel. The execution of the theoretical principles of congestion charging into practice is complex and will hardly, if ever, be met in reality. The idea has always been to charge vehicles where the extent of the charge should reflect negative externalities they impose on others and on the system, thus helping to reduce negative externalities of traffic. In theory that should include congestion, air quality, etc. However in practice congestion has been the only factor considered as the basis for any charging scheme and to a much lesser extent, if any, on air quality improvement. The purpose of this presentation therefore is to present a framework for sustainable transport development which explicitly distinguishes the environment and air quality. More investigations into emission factors which reflect actual driving behaviour and local driving conditions are needed. Critical to achievement of sustainability is the principle of integration; at the level of setting targets and objectives, at the level of setting policies and measures and at the level of monitoring the impacts of such policies.
SPEAKER
Dr. Wafaa Saleh is a Reader in Transportation in the School of Engineering and the Built Environment, and a member of the Transport Modelling and Transport and the Environment Research Groups at Edinburgh Napier University’s Transport Research Institute (TRI). Wafaa is a chartered engineer and her research and teaching areas include transport modelling, travel demand forecasting, modelling travel behaviour, transport and the environment, transport safety, transport management in developing countries and traffic engineering. Wafaa’s first degree is in Civil Engineering and her Master and PhD degrees are in Transportation Engineering and Modelling. Wafaa teaches on a number of Edinburgh Napier’s undergraduate and programmes, and supervise a number of PhD research programmes. Wafaa has just launched a specialised environment engineering lab for testing driving behaviour and emissions from vehicles at Edinburgh Napier University.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor S.C. Wong at Tel.: 2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Miss Aggie Sung at Tel.: 2859-1963
Visualization and assessment of arterial progression quality using high resolution signal event data and probe vehicle travel time data
Professor Darcy Bullock
School of Civil Engineering Purdue University, USA
3 June, 2011 (Friday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
Institute of Transport Studies, The University of Hong Kong
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 3 June, 2011 (Friday)
Time : 6:00 p.m. - 7:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 6-12B, 6/F, Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Coordination is essential to providing the highest possible quality of service on signalized arterials through movements, and travel time is its most accurate yet most expensive measure. This talk presents a methodology for evaluating signal coordination that combines high resolution signal data with travel time measurement using Bluetooth device MAC address matching. The Purdue Coordination Diagram (PCD) is introduced as a tool for visualizing and quantitatively evaluating signal performance and identifying opportunities for improvements. This diagram plots the arrival time of each vehicle at an intersection using input from setback detectors, in combination with information about the phase state (red and green intervals). On a cycle-by-cycle basis, it is possible to view the arrival of each platoon relative to the start and end of green. At a higher level, the performance of the green band can be qualitatively evaluated through visual inspection of the concurrence (or lack of) of vehicle platoons within the green bands. Quantitative measures such as the percent of vehicles arriving on green can be extracted from aggregation of the data and used as objective functions in optimization models. Arterial travel times were measured using MAC address matching using intersection and midblock detecting stations to identify time periods with opportunities to make timing improvements. Using this technique, optimal offsets were calculated for a Saturday plan on a four-intersection signalized corridor, and the operational impacts were estimated. These offsets were then implemented. The number of vehicles in the corridor arriving on green increased from 56% to 66%, while median northbound travel time observed by tracking Bluetooth devices decreased by 1.9 minutes. The talk concludes by discussing the application of Bluetooth tracking to airport security lines and work zone origin-destination research.
SPEAKER
Darcy Bullock is a Professor in the School of Civil Engineering at Purdue University and Director of the Joint Transportation Research Program. He teaching and research are in the general area of intelligent transportation systems for signalized arterials and pedestrian facilities.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor S.C. Wong at Tel.: 2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Miss Aggie Sung at Tel.: 2859-1963
Measuring and assessing travel time reliability
Professor Michael A.P. Taylor
Director, Barbara Hardy Institute, University of South Australia, Australia
2 June, 2011 (Thursday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 2 June, 2011 (Thursday)
Time : 2:00 p.m. - 3:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W703d, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
This presentation considers the study of travel time reliability. It describes the development of a longitudinal database of travel times (the Adelaide Longitudinal Travel Time Reliability Database), which provides data sets for the analysis of travel time reliability in terms of day to day variations in travel times on specified routes. The data used in the study are collected using GPS equipped probe vehicles. Analysis of the longitudinal data suggests the Burr distribution as a useful statistical model to represent travel time variability on journeys in urban areas. This distribution has a flexible shape and the ability to describe the very long upper tails (and hence significant skewness) seen in the observed data. This result provides a means to study travel time reliability in line with recent developments of new travel time reliability indices. The Burr distribution is algebraically tractable, which means that percentile values can be computed directly. Thus metrics, such as the FHWA Buffer Index and the Delft skew-width indices, can be computed from the fitted Burr parameters. This opens the way to the inclusion of reliability as a consideration in economic analysis, using metrics that can better reflect the nature of travel time variability.
SPEAKER
Professor Taylor is the Director of the Barbara Hardy Institute and Professor of Transport Planning at the University of South Australia, Australia. The institute is the focal point for the university’s research in transport, natural resource management, energy, the built environment, sustainable development, and climate change adaptation. Professor Taylor is internationally acknowledged as an expert on traffic flow theory, transport modelling, the environmental impacts of road traffic, and intelligent transport systems. He has more than 40 years of professional and research experience, as a traffic engineer, a research scientist, and in academia. His interest in travel time reliability began in the 1970s, and he has continued to research in this area until the present day. Professor Taylor gained his PhD at Monash University in 1976. He is a Chartered Professional Engineer and a Fellow of the Institution of Engineers, Australia, the UK Chartered Institute of Transport and Logistics, and the US Institute of Transportation Engineers.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William H.K. Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070, Fax:
2334-6389, or Email: cecfylam@polyu.edu.hk.
Bi-level applications of graph theoretical combinatorial algorithms for dynamic traffic assignment
Professor S. Travis Waller
Evans & Peck Professor of Transport Innovation and Director of the Research Centre for Integrated Transportation Innovation, University of New South Wales, Australia
2 June, 2011 (Thursday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 2 June, 2011 (Thursday)
Time : 3:00 p.m. - 4:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W703d, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Bi-level optimization problems represent some of the most challenging facing transportation modelers particularly when the embedded lower-level problem requires Dynamic Traffic Assignment (DTA) conditions. New methodologies will be presented which devise combinatorial algorithms operating on time-expanded graphs by employing the Cell Transmission Model (CTM) for traffic flow propagation. The new DTA algorithms are combined with previously developed linear programming formulations (also based on consistent CTM conditions) to devise novel dual approximation schemes which are employed to achieve gradient information with regard to single or bi-level optimization objectives. The resulting framework and techniques are highly conducive to parallel implementations as well as a wide range of bi-level optimization problems such as capacity calibration, pricing, and network design.
SPEAKER
Professor Waller is the Evans & Peck Professor of Transport Innovation and Director of the Research Centre for Integrated Transportation Innovation at the University of New South Wales (UNSW), Australia. He graduated from The Ohio State University in 1997 with his B.S. in Electrical Engineering. He subsequently obtained his M.S. and Ph.D. in Industrial Engineering and Management Sciences from Northwestern University in 1999 and 2000, respectively. Following a post-doctoral research fellowship at Northwestern University, he began his faculty career as an Assistant Professor in the Department of Civil Engineering at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign in 2001. He joined the Department of Civil Engineering at the University of Texas at Austin as an Assistant Professor in 1997 with promotion to Associate Professor (and Phil M. Ferguson Teaching Fellow) in 2007 and Full Professor in 2011. He joined the Department of Civil Engineering at UNSW in mid-2011. While at the University of Texas, he was the founding director for two research centers. The first, the Center for Transportation and Electricity Convergence (CTEC) is a National Science Foundation Industry/University Cooperative Research Center (NSF IUCRC) which focuses on the transforming impact of plug-in electric vehicles on transport and utility planning. The second, the University of Texas Network Modeling Center (NMC) is a regionally funded effort supported by central Texas transport agencies which focuses on the application of large-scale dynamic traffic assignment solutions for critical planning issues. His research and teaching interests span network modeling, simulation, applied operations research methods, stochastic optimization, intelligent transportation systems, and network routing algorithms.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William H.K. Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070, Fax:
2334-6389, or Email: cecfylam@polyu.edu.hk.
Visual PFE for planning applications in small communities
Professor Anthony Chen
Professor, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Utah State University, USA
2 June, 2011 (Thursday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 2 June, 2011 (Thursday)
Time : 4:00 p.m. - 5:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W703d, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Transportation is critical to the social, environmental, and economic health of every metropolitan city. Because of its importance, federal regulations in the United States require each urbanized area over 50,000 in population to have a Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) responsible for transportation planning. Yet, according to the U.S. Census, over 40 percent of all U.S. communities have populations less than 50,000. In California, there are 333 municipalities (out of 535 municipalities) that have a population less than 50,000 (U.S. Census Bureau). Such small communities usually do not have sufficient resources to conduct travel surveys or embark on model development and maintenance for carrying out various planning functions. This seminar will present a simplified planning tool specifically targeted at small communities, by adapting and enhancing the Visual Path Flow Estimator (PFE) originally developed for estimating path flows, and hence origin-destination (O-D) demands based on link traffic counts and historical O-D data. To show proof of concept, case studies will be presented in the seminar.
SPEAKER
Professor Chen is a Professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at the Utah State University (USU), U.S.A. He is also the division head of the Transportation Program at USU. Professor Chen’s research interests include transportation systems modeling, modeling of route choice behavior under uncertainty, origin-destination trip table estimation, network equilibrium modeling and algorithm development, meta-heuristics for discrete network location and network design problems, and transportation network reliability and applications to infrastructure management and disaster management. He is a member of the Transportation Network Modeling Committee of the Transportation Research Board (TRB), an editorial advisory board member of the Journal of Urban Planning and Development, and an associate editor for Transportmetrica. Dr. Chen is a recipient of the 2002 National Science Foundation (NSF) Faculty Early Career Development (CAREER) Award in U.S.A.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William H.K. Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070, Fax:
2334-6389, or Email: cecfylam@polyu.edu.hk.
Modeling heterogeneous risk-taking behavior in route choice: A stochastic dominance approach
Professor Yu (Marco) Nie
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Northwestern University, USA
22 March, 2011 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
Institute of Transport Studies, The University of Hong Kong
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 22 March, 2011 (Tuesday)
Time : 6:00 p.m. - 7:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 6-12B, 6/F, Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Transportation systems
are affected by uncertainties of various sorts. As a result, reliability has
become a critical dimension in user experience of transportation services. On
one hand, lack of reliability either encourages overly conservative risk-averse
behavior or leads to uncomfortable, sometimes disastrous, disruptions to
personal and business schedules. On the other hand, users' risk-taking behavior
in presence of uncertainties may collectively affect the "equilibrium"
of traffic in the system, and hence the design and operational decisions.
In this talk, a unified approach is proposed to model heterogonous risk-taking
behavior in route choice based on the theory of stochastic dominance (SD), a
tool widely used in finance and economics. We show that, the paths preferred by
travelers of different risk-taking preferences can be obtained by enumerating
the corresponding SD-admissible paths, and that general dynamic programming can
be employed to generate these paths. The relationship between the SD theory and
several route choice models found in the literature is also discussed. These
route choice models employ a variety of indexes to measure reliability, which
often makes the problem of finding optimal paths intractable. We show that the
optimal paths with respect to these reliability indexes often belong to one of
the three SD-admissible path sets. This finding offers not only an
interpretation of risk-taking behavior consistent with the SD theory for these
route choice models, but also a unified and computationally viable solution
approach through SD-admissible path sets, which are usually small and can be
generated without having to enumerate all paths.
We also introduce two applications of the stochastic dominance approach. In the first, the first-order
SD is used to solve the percentile user-equilibrium traffic assignment problem,
in which travelers are assumed to choose routes to minimize the percentile
travel time, i.e. the travel time budget that ensures their preferred
probability of on-time arrival. The second application considers the optimal
path problems with second-order stochastic dominance constraints, which arise
when travelers are concerned with the tradeoff between the risks associated with
random travel time and other travel costs. Risk-averse behavior is embedded in
such problems by requiring the random travel times on the optimal paths to
stochastically dominate that on a benchmark path in the second order. For each
application, we give a formulation and briefly discuss solution algorithms.
SPEAKER
Yu (Marco) Nie is Assistant Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Northwestern University. He received his B.S. in Structural Engineering from Tsinghua University (Beijing) and his Ph.D. in Transportation Engineering from the University of California, Davis. Dr. Nie's research covers a variety of topics in the areas of transportation systems analysis, traffic simulation and traffic flow theory. He has extensive experience in developing software tools for various transportation applications. Currently Dr. Nie is a member of the TRB committee on Transportation Network Modeling (ADB30), TRB committee on Traffic Flow Theory and Characteristics (AHB45) and the Editorial Advisory Board of the Journal of Transportation Research Part B. He has also served as an ad-hoc reviewer for a variety of transportation journals, and as review panelists for National Science Foundation. Dr. Nie's research has been supported by National Science Foundation, US Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration (FHWA), and Illinois Department of Transportation.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor S.C. Wong at Tel.: 2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Miss Aggie Sung at Tel.: 2859-1963
Road use charging and inter-modal equilibrium: The Downs-Thompson paradox revisited
Professor Michael G.H. Bell and Muanmas Wichiensin
Centre for Transport Studies, Imperial College London, UK
11 March, 2011 (Friday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 11 March, 2011 (Friday)
Time : 6:00 p.m. - 7:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W601, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
This presentation looks at the impact of charging for road use in cities where; an intermodal equilibrium prevails, there are efficiency gains to be had from increased transit use, but the roads are congested. Demand is assumed to be elastic and transit is assumed not to be directly affected by road congestion, as would be the case where transit uses a reserved track. It is shown that at a stable intermodal user equilibrium a version of the Downs-Thompson paradox applies if the efficiency gains arising from increased transit use are passed on to passengers as reduced generalized usage costs (reduced fares, increased service frequencies, or both). The paradox arises because the imposition of a road user charge (call it a congestion charge) not only reduces road congestion but also reduces the cost of travel at the intermodal user equilibrium including the congestion charge for those who choose to drive. The presentation then goes on to consider what would be expected if, rather passing on the efficiency gains to transit users, the transit operator(s) behaved like a profit maximizing monopolist, and establishes that the paradox can no longer arise. The implications of the findings for the regulation of transit fares are considered.
SPEAKER
Prof. Michael Bell is Professor of Transport Operations at Imperial College London. Having graduated in 1975 from Cambridge University with a BA in Economics, he obtained an MSc in 1976 and a PhD in 1981, both in the field of transportation and both from Leeds University. Between 1979 and 1982 he worked as a Research Associate at University College London, before moving to the Institut für Verkehrswesen at the Technical University of Karlsruhe as an Alexander von Humboldt post-doctoral Research Fellow. He returned to the UK in 1984 to a New Blood lectureship at the University of Newcastle. In 1992 he became the Deputy Director of the Transport Operations Research Group (TORG), becoming its Director in 1996. He was promoted to a Personal Readership in 1994 and a Personal Chair in 1996. In January 2002, he moved to Imperial College London, and in 2005 he established the Port Operations Research and Technology Centre (PORTeC), of which he is Director. His research and teaching interests span transport network modelling, traffic engineering and control, intelligent transport systems, ports and logistics. An important methodological theme has been decision-making under uncertainty and transport network reliability. Recent projects include robust and adaptive algorithms for navigation in multi-modal networks.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William H.K. Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070, Fax:
2334-6389, or Email: cecfylam@polyu.edu.hk.
Recent developments of road network operations in Australia
Dr. James Luk
Australian Road Research Board (ARRB Group), Australia
11 January, 2011 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
Institute of Transport Studies, The University of Hong Kong
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 11 January, 2011 (Tuesday)
Time : 6:00 p.m. - 7:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 6-12B, 6/F, Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Traffic management is given a modern term called network operations in Australia/New Zealand and other countries. With increasing congestion in large urban centres, the cost of congestion has been similar to the cost of road crashes and has attracted attention amongst policy makers in Australia. This Seminar reports on some of the research and development activities at ARRB and state road agencies. It will describe the following three aspects of road network operation: (a) definition of road network operations - the definition has ranged from the traditional sense of managing 'hot spots' to high-level strategy development including travel demand management. An appropriate definition was reached by consensus amongst road agencies recently and will be reported. (b) automatic, online measurement of network performance - to be able to manage congestion well, it is important to be able to measure it well. Some recent research into the development of online performance indicators will be reported. (c) high-level network intelligence in SCATS - some operational limitations of SCATS will be described including recent measures to overcome these limitations.
SPEAKER
Dr James Luk is a Chief Scientist with the ARRB Group in Melbourne. He has been involved in intelligent transport system research and teaching for more than 30 years. He was with the Nanyang Technological University in Singapore from 1998-2002. James is also an Adjunct Professor of La Trobe University in Melbourne.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor S.C. Wong at Tel.: 2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Miss Aggie Sung at Tel.: 2859-1963
Adaptive joint route-choice behavior of multi-occupants in private vehicles: To switch or not to switch - Who makes the decision on route switching?
Professor Jiuh-Biing Sheu
Institute of Traffic and Transportation, National Chiao Tung University, Taiwan
8 January, 2011 (Saturday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
and
Institute of Transport Studies, The University of Hong Kong
Date : 8 January, 2011 (Saturday)
Time : 10:30 a.m. - 11:30 a.m.
Venue : Room 3574 (Civil Eng. Conference Room, via Lift 27/28), The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clearwater Bay, Kowloon
ABSTRACT
This talk is about the introduction of a new adaptive joint route choice behavior model which characterizes and predicts household adaptive en-route choice behavior in ATMIS contexts. The proposed model characterizes in-vehicle joint route-choice decisions by multi-occupants in the following three stages: (1) initiation of individual preference; (2) preference accommodation; and, (3) utility aggregation. The unique feature of the proposed model is that the fundamentals of fuzzy set and psychological game theories are integrated into the individual preference accommodation process. Two psychological factors, egoism and altruism, are considered when characterizing how vehicle occupants adapt their preferences for route choices to the preferences of other occupants. The in-vehicle multi-occupant joint utility is then determined by a weighting utility aggregation process. Using household survey data for a long-weekend holiday, the parameters of the proposed model are estimated, followed by model tests with a simple freeway traffic network to demonstrate the accuracy of the proposed model. Test results indicate that the proposed model can characterize household route-choice behavior and predict network traffic diversion with a forecasting performance better than that when only considering driver utility for household en-route choice prediction.
SPEAKER
Professor Jiuh-Biing Sheu is a full professor and director of Institute of Traffic and Transportation, National Chiao Tung University, Taiwan, R.O.C. Presently, he is also the associate editor and guest editor of Transportation Research Part E. His research interests include Intelligent Transportation Systems, channel relationship management, green supply chain management, green marketing, emergency logistics management, and advanced logistics distribution and transportation systems. His current research focuses on psychophysics and its applications in driver behavior, and green supply chain relationship management, bargaining game and its applications in green supply chain negotiations.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor Hai Yang at Tel.: 2358-7178
Please reserve your seat with Ms Rebecca Yau at Tel.: 2358-7164
Equilibrium and mode split under pricing regimes in a competitive transit/highway system
Professor Hai-Jun Huang
Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, China
14 December, 2010 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 14 December, 2010 (Tuesday)
Time : 9:30 a.m. - 10:30 a.m.
Venue : Room 3574 (Civil Eng. Conference Room, via Lift 27/28), Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clearwater Bay, Kowloon
ABSTRACT
Consider such a competitive transit/highway system where every morning, commuters have to travel from a residential area to a workplace by using their private cars on a bottleneck-constrained highway or selecting a regularly dispatched train on a railway. We first depict the commuters' departure patterns by private car and train respectively, then derive the conditions and properties of a non-toll dynamic equilibrium for ensuring that the total private cost is equal for any commuter at any used departure time and by any mode. We discuss three different pricing regimes and formulate the corresponding mathematical programs for minimizing the total social cost or maximizing the total toll revenue. Numerical results are presented.
SPEAKER
Hai-Jun Huang is the Cheng Kong professor of the Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics (BUAA). He is now the executive associate dean of the BUAA's Graduate School and had served as the dean of the School of Economics and Management. From 2000 to 2004, he was the vice director of the Department of Management Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China. He received his Ph.D in transport operations research from BUAA in 1992. His research interests include road traffic flow models, transport network modeling, travel behavior analysis and congested road-use pricing. He has published more than 100 papers in such international journals as Transportation Research (Part A, Part B, Part E), JORS, EJOR, JTRR, Physical Review E, Physical A. He co-authored with Hai Yang the book Mathematical and Economic Theory of Road Pricing published by Elsevier in 2005. In 1998, he got the National Excellent Young Researcher Grant. He is now on the editorial boards of more than 15 journals, including Transportation Research Part B.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor Hai Yang at Tel.: 2358-7178
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Rebecca Yau at Tel.: 2358-7164
The
distributional effects of road pricing with heterogeneity in values of time and schedule delayProfessor Erik T Verhoef
VU University Amsterdam, The Netherlands
14 December, 2010 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 14 December, 2010 (Tuesday)
Time : 10:30 a.m. - 11:30 a.m.
Venue : Room 3574 (Civil Eng. Conference Room, via Lift 27/28), Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clearwater Bay, Kowloon
ABSTRACT
This talk is about the efficiency and distributional impacts of congestion pricing in Vickrey's (1969) dynamic bottleneck model of congestion, allowing for continuous distributions of values of time and schedule delay. We find that congestion pricing can leave a majority of travellers better off even without returning the toll revenues to them. We also find that the consumer surplus losses or gains from tolling are not strictly monotonic in the value of time, because they also depend on the value of schedule delays. The greatest losses are not incurred by drivers with the lowest value of time, but by users with an intermediate value of schedule delays and the lowest value of time for that value of schedule delays. For second-best pricing with an untolled alternative, the pattern of distributional effects is quite similar to that for first-best pricing. In contrast with results from prior static models, users who are indifferent between the two alternative routes are not the ones who gain least from this type of second-best pricing. Our results suggest that, in assessing the distributional impacts of road congestion pricing, it is important to take into account both the distribution of the value of time and of the value of schedule delays, as well as the dynamics of departure time choice.
SPEAKER
Erik Verhoef is affiliated as a full professor in Spatial Economics, and as the Research Dean of the Faculty of Economics, at the VU University Amsterdam. Furthermore, he is visiting professor at the Institute for Transport Studies at Leeds University, and a research fellow at the Tinbergen Institute and the Netherlands Network of Economics (NAKE). He is elected follow of the Regional Science Association International, and has recently received a prestigious ERC Advanced Grant. His research focuses on efficiency and equity aspects of spatial externalities and their economic regulation, in particular in transport, urban and spatial systems. Important research themes include second-best regulation, network- and spatial analysis and methodological development, dynamic modelling, efficiency aspects versus equity and social acceptability, and policy evaluation. His research is at the interface of welfare-, micro-, transport-, urban-, spatial- and environmental economics. He has published various books and numerous articles on these topics.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor Hai Yang at Tel.: 2358-7178
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Rebecca Yau at Tel.: 2358-7164
Analysis of observed flows and speeds of urban transit systems
Professor S.C. (Chan) Wirasinghe
Department of Civil Engineering
, Schulich School of Engineering, University of Calgary, Canada11 September, 2010 (Saturday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 11 September, 2010 (Saturday)
Time : 5:00 p.m. - 6:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W703d, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
ABSTRACT
As a transit corridor evolves over time (over several decades) due to land use and other changes, the public transit mode (or mix of modes) that serves it may have to transition from one to another several times. Two of the significant characteristics that must be considered in the transition are the capacity and average speed of each mode since they impact the passenger waiting times and in-vehicle travel times respectively. Data on stated capacities, observed maximum flows and average speeds have been collected from many available sources and analyzed as part of this study. In addition to intrinsic variations, there is considerable variation in the data caused in part by lack of information about the differences in the transit systems for which the data is available, e.g. number of transit routes passing through a corridor. Various modes considered suitable for the South Calgary corridor are ranked in terms of the line capacity and average speed. The thresholds are those at which a mode transition is essential. However, mode transitions may occur well in advance of such thresholds if a new modal mix is optimal for the corridor in terms of minimizing the sum of the costs to the users and the operator. Some preliminary results on the optimal mix of regular and express bus services in a given corridor are also discussed.
SPEAKER
Prof. Wirasinghe is currently a full Professor of Civil Engineering and the Academic Director of the Center for Transportation of the Van Horne Institute. He is an Honorary Professor at The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong and the University of Moratuwa, Sri Lanka. He obtained his B.Sc. in Civil Engineering from the University of Ceylon (now Sri Lanka) in Peradeniya in 1968. He won a four year US Fulbright Scholarship to study transportation engineering at the University of California at Berkeley. He completed his MS in 1973 and Ph.D. in 1976 at Berkeley. He moved to the University of Calgary in Canada in 1976 as an Assistant Professor in the Department of Civil Engineering. He became Dean of the Faculty of Engineering in January 1994 and held the post until July 2006. Prof. Wirasinghe's research interests are in public transportation, airport planning, transport in developing countries and mitigation of natural disasters. He is the Co-Editor-in-Chief of the Journal of Advanced Transportation. He is currently writing a book titled Transit Systems - Analysis and Planning. He has about 190 publications and supervised 12 PhD students, 3 PDF's and 11 Masters students. He received a D.Sc. (Honoris Causa) from the University of Moratuwa in 2001. He was named Calgary's Citizen of the Year for 2005. He is a Fellow of the Canadian Academy of Engineering, the Canadian Society of Civil Engineers, the Institution of Engineers, Sri Lanka, and Engineers Canada.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070 or Fax:
2334-6389
A multi-class mean-excess traffic equilibrium model with elastic demand
Professor Anthony Chen
Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering
, Utah State University, USA9 June, 2010 (Wednesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
Institute of Transport Studies, The University of Hong Kong
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 9 June, 2010 (Wednesday)
Time : 11:30 a.m. - 12:30 p.m.
Venue : Room 6-12B, 6/F, Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Mean-excess travel time is a new route choice criterion recently proposed by Chen and Zhou (2010) to simultaneously consider both reliability (on-time arrival) and unreliability (late arrival) aspects of travel time variability when making route choice decisions under uncertainty. In this seminar, a multi-class mean-excess traffic equilibrium model with elastic demand will be presented. This model explicitly accounts for multiple user classes with different risk attitudes toward the travel time variability in the mean-excess traffic equilibrium framework. Furthermore, travel demand between each origin-destination (O-D) pair for each user class is assumed to depend on the corresponding minimal O-D mean-excess travel time. The proposed model is formulated as a variational inequity (VI) problem that can be solved by a route-based algorithm based on the modified alternating direction method. Numerical examples are also provided to illustrate the proposed model.
SPEAKER
Dr. Anthony Chen is a Professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at the Utah State University (USU). He is also the division head of the Transportation Program at USU. Dr. Chen's research interests include transportation systems modeling, modeling of route choice behavior under uncertainty, origin-destination trip table estimation, network equilibrium modeling and algorithm development, meta-heuristics for discrete network location and network design problems, and transportation network reliability and applications to infrastructure management and disaster management. He is a member of the Transportation Network Modeling Committee of the Transportation Research Board (TRB), an editorial advisory board member of the Journal of Urban Planning and Development, and an associate editor for Transportmetrica. Dr. Chen is a recipient of the 2002 National Science Foundation (NSF) Faculty Early Career Development (CAREER) Award in the United States.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor S.C. Wong at Tel.: 2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Miss Aggie Sung at Tel.: 2859-1963
Planning for electric vehicles - can we match environmental requirements, technology and travel demand?
Professor Michael Anthony Peter Taylor
Director, Institute for Sustainable Systems and Technologies
, University of South Australia, Adelaide, Australia1 June, 2010 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
and
Institute of Transport Studies, The University of Hong Kong
Date : 1 June, 2010 (Tuesday)
Time : 4:30 p.m. - 5:30 p.m.
Venue : Room 3574 (via Lift 27-28), The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
ABSTRACT
This seminar discusses the feasibility for adopting electric vehicles (EV) for urban transport, replacing conventional private vehicles. Considerations need to be made of the potential greenhouse gas benefits of EV, the ability for EV to be used as direct replacements for present day vehicles, and the infrastructure and power supply implications of a wholesale shift to electric powered private transport. The paper presents the results of a feasibility study conducted for two major Australian cities, Sydney and Adelaide. The overall conclusion is that introduction of current technology electric vehicles could impact significantly on daily journeys made within a 100 km charge range. The case studies show that the large majority of motorised journeys are accomplished within this range. However, it must be emphasised that for a maximum benefit from electric vehicles, electricity should be acquired from renewable sources. The study findings should have implications for the adoption of EV technology in cities around the world.
SPEAKER
Professor Michael Taylor is the Director of the Institute for Sustainable Systems and Technologies (ISST) and Professor of Transport Planning at the University of South Australia. He is internationally acknowledged as an expert on travel behaviour, travel demand modelling, and the environmental impacts of road traffic. His current research is in three areas: future urban transport systems, fuel and emissions modelling for road traffic and transport network reliability and vulnerability. He has 40 years professional experience, as a traffic engineer, a research scientist, and in academia.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor Hong Lo at Tel.: 2358-8743
Please reserve your seat with Ms Rebecca Yau at Tel.: 2358-7164.
Changing concepts of high speed rail in Europe
Professor Roger Vickerman
Centre for European Regional and Transport Economics, University of Kent, UK
16 April, 2010 (Friday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 16 April, 2010 (Friday)
Time : 6:00 p.m. - 7:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W703d, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
High Speed Rail was originally developed in France as substitute for air over longer distances and road over shorter distances with the ideal distance being seen as 400-600 km or a 2 to 3 hour journey time. This led to both mode substitution and trip generation, but concerted campaigns for regional connections led to two developments - off-route connections and the development of intermediate stations. These have had varying degrees of success. In Germany rather less emphasis has been placed on the development of new inter-city routes but rather gradual developments of laid over the existing inter-city rail service. Spain on the other hand has tended more towards the French model. Two major changes have however occurred to the original inter-city model with HSR as a complement to air with airport stations and the growth of longer distance commuting. In this paper we review these developments and assess the priorities for future developments concentrating particularly on the potential for using HSR as an instrument of regional economic development. This will provide some interesting contrasts with the current development of HSR in China.
SPEAKER
Prof. Roger Vickerman is Professor of European Economics at the University of Kent, Canterbury, U.K., where he is also Director of the Centre for European, Regional and Transport Economics and Dean of the University of Kent's Brussels (Belgium) Campus where he directs the Brussels School of International Studies. He holds degrees in Economics from the Universities of Cambridge and Sussex and an honorary doctorate from the Phillipps-Universität Marburg. He is an Academician of Academy of Social Sciences, a Fellow of the Royal Society of Arts and a Chartered Fellow of the Chartered Institute of Logistics and Transport. His main research interests are the relationship between transport (especially infrastructure), regional development and integration in the European Union; and the role of migration and labour mobility in integration. He is particularly known for his studies on major infrastructure projects and their economic effects, particularly the EU's Trans-European Networks. He is currently working on questions relating to public-private partnerships, regulation in transport and the ex-post analysis of ERDF and Cohesion Fund expenditure on transport. He is a member of the Analytical Challenge Panel to HS2 Ltd which advises the UK Government on the development of high-speed rail. He has served as a member of SACTRA (Standing Committee on Trunk Road Assessment), as an advisor to Committees of both the House of Commons and House of Lords in the UK Parliament and acted as a consultant to the European Commission, various UK government departments and regional and local government authorities. He is the author of 6 books (including the textbook Principles of Transport Economics, with Emile Quinet) and over 150 chapters, journal articles and reports. He sits on the editorial boards of several journals in both transport and regional science.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. Agachai Sumalee at Tel.: 3400-3963
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070, Fax:
2334-6389, or Email: cecfylam@polyu.edu.hk.
Transport investiments and global competitiveness: Balancing mobility and livability
Professor Robert Cervero
Professor of City and Regional Planning; University of California, Berkeley
; Director, University of California Transportation Center, USA26 February, 2010 (Friday)
Jointly organized by
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
The Chartered Institute of Logistics and Transport in Hong Kong
and
The Hong Kong Institution of Engineers - Civil Division
Date : 26 February, 2010 (Friday)
Time : 5:30 p.m. - 7:30 p.m. (5:30 - 6:00 reception)
Venue : Room M1603, 16/F, Li Ka Shing Tower, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Transport infrastructure is critical to the competitiveness of cities and regions in the global marketplace. With knowledge- and service-based industries driving economic growth in many sectors of the modern economy, creating functional yet livable cities is essential to global competitiveness. This presentation addresses the challenges of striking an appropriate balance between transport infrastructure as an economic conduit and broader place-making and community-building objectives, drawing lessons from Asian, European, and American contexts.
SPEAKER
Prof. Professor Robert Cervero works in the area of sustainable transportation policy and planning, focusing on the nexus between urban transportation and land-use systems. He is Professor of City and Regional Planning and Director of the University of California Transportation Center at the University of California, Berkeley. Professor Cervero is a frequent advisor and consultant on transport projects, both in the U.S. and abroad. In 2004, Professor Cervero was the first-ever recipient of the Dale Prize for Excellence in Urban Planning Research and is a past Fellow with the Urban Land Institute and World Bank Institute. Presently, he is Chairman of the International Association of Urban Environments and the National Advisory Board of the Active Living Research Program of the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation. Professor Cervero currently serves on the editorial boards of six leading journals. Over the past year, he has conducted professional training workshops in Indonesia through the World Bank Institute as well as for the Ministry of Transportation in Argentina, the West Australia Department of Planning, and the American Planning Association.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
FREE Admission. Please reserve your seat with Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070 or by
returning the completed <reply
slip> by fax at
2334-6389.
Funding Organization: Professional Services Development Assistance Scheme, Commerce and Economic Development Bureau, The Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region
Disclaimer: Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this material / any event organized under this Project do not reflect the views of the Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region or the Vetting Committee for the Professional Services Development Assistance Scheme.
An integrated, dynamic, multi-modal emergency evacuation system for the city Baltimore
Professor Gang-Len Chang
Professor and Director of Transportation program, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Maryland; Manager of the Applied Technology for Traffic Operations and Safety Program between Maryland State Highway Administration and University of Maryland, USA
24 February, 2010 (Wednesday)
Jointly organized by
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
The Hong Kong Institution of Engineers - Civil Division
Date : 24 February, 2010 (Wednesday)
Time : 5:30 p.m. - 7:30 p.m. (5:30 - 6:00 reception)
Venue : Room HJ303, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Efficient evacuation of populations to pre-designated safety destinations within the allowable time window during emergency has emerged as not only a priority research but also operational issue for many US major metropolises in recent years. Given the real-world constraints on the network monitoring and system control, the primary challenge during emergency evacuation lies in how to best direct evacuees from the incident impact zones to target transportation modes and to the assigned evacuation routes. Hence, in developing an effective plan for such applications, one shall take into account a variety of complex operational issues, including the inevitable conflicts between massive pedestrian and vehicular flows within the impacted zones, dynamic guidance of pedestrian flows to subway or bus stations, identification of optimal locations for buses to pick up evacuees, optimal supply of transit vehicles in response to the distribution of evacuation patterns, and responsive control of signals as well as ramps to direct traffic flows out of the direct and secondary incident impact zones. This seminar will illustrate an integrated multimodal emergency evacuation system for the City of Baltimore. The proposed system has been developed to address all those complex operational issues during emergency evacuation. The model framework, key module formulations, and demonstration of system applications will all be included in the presentation.
SPEAKER
Prof. Gang-Len Chang is a Professor and the Director of Transportation program at the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Maryland, U.S.A. and Manager of the Applied Technology for Traffic Operations and Safety Program between Maryland State Highway Administration and University of Maryland. He also serves as the Director of the Laboratory for Traffic Safety and Operations, and the Executive Committee Member of the Tier-I University Transportation Center by USDOT. Prof. Chang's primary research areas have been on traffic network analysis, intelligent transportation systems control and operations, and regional network planning and development. Over the past 10 years, Prof. Chang has been the principal investigator for more than 50 transportation projects and research funding of over 8 million dollars sponsored by both federal and state agencies. He has received the research excellence and support award from Maryland State Highway Administration, and Martin Marietta University Research Award for Intelligent Transportation Systems Development. He has served as editorial members for major transportation research journals such as Journals of Transportation Research Part B and Part A, Journal of Transportation Engineering. He is a member of several TRB technical committees, and is currently the Chief Editor for Journal of Urban Planning and Development (ASCE), the Associate Editor for Journal of Transportmetrica, and an Editor Board Member for Journal of Urban Technologies. Prof. Chang is also one of the publications committee members for Transportation and Development Institute of ASCE. He has worked as a technical advisor for many ITS programs in developing and developed countries including United Nations Developing Country program, World Bank, Taiwan Ministry of Communications and Transportation, The Korea Transport Institute, Intelligent Transportation Systems of Martin Marietta, Transportation Systems Division of Loral AerroSys, Maryland Toll Authority, and D.C. Capital Region for Emergency Evacuation.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
FREE Admission. Please reserve your seat with Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070 or by
returning the completed <reply
slip> by fax at
2334-6389.
Funding Organization: Professional Services Development Assistance Scheme, Commerce and Economic Development Bureau, The Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region
Disclaimer: Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this material / any event organized under this Project do not reflect the views of the Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region or the Vetting Committee for the Professional Services Development Assistance Scheme.
Spatial factors associated with pedestrian fatalities and injuries
Professor Robert Noland
Rutgers University, USA
14 December, 2009 (Monday)
Jointly organized by
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
The Chartered Institute of Logistics and Transport in Hong Kong
Date : 14 December, 2009 (Monday)
Time : 5:30 p.m. - 7:30 p.m. (5:30 - 6:00 reception)
Venue : Room N001, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Pedestrian fatalities and injuries are a growing concern in many countries, especially those that are rapidly transforming their cities to enable widespread car usage. This presentation will initially cover some of the fundamental theory associated with understanding road safety and mobility. A spatial analysis of pedestrian fatalities and injuries in the State of New Jersey will then be presented. Using geo-coded data on fatalities and injuries a maximum-likelihood negative binomial model is estimated to examine how various spatially defined variables, including road, demographic, and land use characteristics may be associated with fatalities and injuries. Due to suspected spatial correlation in the data we also employ a conditional autoregressive Bayesian model using Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation, implemented with WinBUGS software. While the injury model did not reach a stable convergence, the fatality model is broadly similar to the maximum-likelihood estimate, but provides better inference on the distribution of parameter values. We supplement the statistical analysis with a demonstration of the power of Google StreetviewTM as a visual analysis tool and discuss future research using this technique. Overall results suggest that areas with greater population density have fewer fatalities, and that those with more intense employment have both greater fatalities and injuries. Lower income areas tend to have more victims, but those from lower income areas also tend to be victims in different areas. Our visual analysis suggests that large roads are likely associated with pedestrian fatalities, as supported by the multivariate results. Implications for road development and policy are discussed.
SPEAKER
Robert Noland is a Professor at the Edward J. Bloustein School of Planning and Public Policy and serves as the Director of the Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center. He received his PhD at the University of Pennsylvania in Energy Management and Environmental Policy. Prior to joining Rutgers University he was Reader in Transport and Environmental Policy in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Imperial College London, a Policy Analyst at the US Environmental Protection Agency and also conducted post-doctoral research in the Economics Department at the University of California at Irvine. The focus of Dr. Noland's research is the impacts of transport planning and policy on environmental outcomes. This is defined very broadly to include not just air and water quality impacts, but also impacts on safety, climate, health, and other factors associated with overall quality of life. Active research areas include examining the impact of induced travel on vehicle emissions; understanding the policy implications of induced travel and behavioral responses to new transport capacity; investigation of policies to mitigate the climate impacts of aviation, in particular those associated with contrail formation; micro-simulation of pedestrian-vehicle interactions to provide an understanding of the costs and benefits associated with policies to improve pedestrian flow; analysis of behavioral issues associated with transport safety policies and empirical analyses of safety data, and assessment of the economic effects of transport investments. Dr. Noland's research has been cited throughout the world in debates over transport infrastructure planning and environmental assessment of new infrastructure. Dr. Noland is currently the Associate Editor of Transportation Research-D (Transport and Environment) and the International Journal of Sustainable Transportation and is Chair of the Transportation Research Board Committee's on Joint Sub-committee on Transportation and Global Climate Change.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
FREE Admission. Please reserve your seat with Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070 or by
returning the completed <reply
slip> by fax at
2334-6389.
Funding Organization: Professional Services Development Assistance Scheme, Commerce and Economic Development Bureau, The Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region
Disclaimer: Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this material / any event organized under this Project do not reflect the views of the Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region or the Vetting Committee for the Professional Services Development Assistance Scheme.
The future for route guidance and journey planners
Professor Michael G.H. Bell
Imperial College London, UK
12 December, 2009 (Saturday)
Jointly organized by
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
and
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
Date : 12 December, 2009 (Saturday)
Time : 3:00 p.m. - 5:00 p.m. (3:00 - 3:30 reception)
Venue : Room AG710, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Efficient transport systems are a necessary but not a sufficient condition for efficient travel. Equally important is the ability to accurately plan and execute a trip, as this determines the efficiency with which transport systems can be used, either by people or by freight. Recently vehicle navigation systems, particularly portable navigation devices, have achieved great popularity by offering drivers guidance at a reasonable price, even though the electronic maps and assumed link travel times have often been inaccurate. At the same time, journey planners have been become more widespread and available to travellers who can access the internet via their mobile phones. Advances in mobile phones open up the possibility of personal, multi-modal guidance systems that can navigate the traveller across transport systems from origin to destination. In addition, there have been advances in algorithms making guidance more reliable, user friendly and responsive to on-trip events. The construction of hyperpaths allows travellers to take advantage of variations in bus or tram arrival times or unforeseen variations in link travel times. Alternatively, hyperpaths can allow for taste variations by offering the driver the full set of Pareto optimal alternatives. This paper reviews the field and presents an algorithm for generating hyperpaths for journey planners. The paper closes with a vision of the future for personal, multi-modal guidance systems.
SPEAKER
Prof. Michael Bell is Professor of Transport Operations at Imperial College London. Having graduated in 1975 from Cambridge University with a BA in Economics, he obtained an MSc in 1976 and a PhD in 1981, both in the field of transportation and both from Leeds University. Between 1979 and 1982 he worked as a Research Associate at University College London, before moving to the Institut für Verkehrswesen at the Technical University of Karlsruhe as an Alexander von Humboldt post-doctoral Research Fellow. He returned to the UK in 1984 to a New Blood lectureship at the University of Newcastle. In 1992 he became the Deputy Director of the Transport Operations Research Group (TORG), becoming its Director in 1996. He was promoted to a Personal Readership in 1994 and a Personal Chair in 1996. In January 2002, he moved to Imperial College London, and in 2005 he established the Port Operations Research and Technology Centre (PORTeC), of which he is Director. His research and teaching interests span transport network modelling, traffic engineering and control, intelligent transport systems, ports and logistics. An important methodological theme has been decision-making under uncertainty and transport network reliability. Recent projects include robust and adaptive algorithms for navigation in multi-modal networks.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
FREE Admission. Please reserve your seat with Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070 or by
returning the completed <reply
slip> by fax at
2334-6389.
Funding Organization: Professional Services Development Assistance Scheme, Commerce and Economic Development Bureau, The Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region
Disclaimer: Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this material / any event organized under this Project do not reflect the views of the Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region or the Vetting Committee for the Professional Services Development Assistance Scheme.
Climate change and transportation: a changing climate?
Professor Harry J.P. Timmermans
Eindhoven University of Technology, The Netherlands
11 December, 2009 (Friday)
Jointly organized by
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
The Hong Kong Institution of Engineers - Civil Division
Date : 11 December, 2009 (Friday)
Time : 5:30 p.m. - 7:30 p.m. (5:30 - 6:00 reception)
Venue : Room AG710, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
The potentially dramatic impact of climate change is a rapidly increasing worldwide concern. Transportation may have a role to play in mitigating climate change. On the other hand, the potential impact of climate change may also influence the organization of activities and related travel in time and space. This seminar presents (i) summarize the current discussion, (ii) discuss alternative transportation-related solutions to mitigate climate change, (iii) reflect on the prospects of these alternative solutions and (iv) identify avenues of future research.
SPEAKER
Dr. Harry Timmermans is Chaired Professor of Urban Planning at the Eindhoven University of Technology. His research interest is in modelling activity-travel patterns and developing decision support systems in a variety of applications areas, including transportation. His latest research projects concern the development of large-scale dynamic activity-based models, linking activity-travel patterns to energy use and environmental performance criteria and the application of pervasive technology in transportation. He has (co-)authored over 500 journal articles and several books in urban planning, transportation, marketing, tourism, operations research, artificial intelligence an applied computer science. He is founding editor of the Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services and serves on the editorial board of various journals in different disciplines. He also is member of the board of IATBR and several TRB committees.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
FREE Admission. Please reserve your seat with Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070 or by
returning the completed <reply
slip> by fax at
2334-6389.
Funding Organization: Professional Services Development Assistance Scheme, Commerce and Economic Development Bureau, The Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region
Disclaimer: Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this material / any event organized under this Project do not reflect the views of the Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region or the Vetting Committee for the Professional Services Development Assistance Scheme.
Risks in transportation project cost estimation
Professor Kumares C. Sinha
Department of Civil Engineering, Purdue University, USA
29 October, 2009 (Thursday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
The Hong Kong Institution of Engineers - Civil Division
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 29 October, 2009 (Thursday)
Time : 5:30 p.m. - 7:30 p.m. (5:30 - 6:00 reception)
Venue : Room M1603, 16/F, Li Ka Shing Tower, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Reliability of public project construction cost estimates is a worldwide concern. Estimates made at the planning stage go through several revisions as projects pass through various stages before construction, often spanning a period exceeding 10 to 15 years or more. After the planning stage when a project is scheduled for future implementation, progressively detailed cost estimates are prepared at the remaining stages of project development, namely, design estimate, engineer's estimate, and bid estimate. The level of accuracy of such estimates has critical consequences on contract administration and public asset management. Most transportation agencies do not have a methodological framework that can reliably identify projects with cost over-(or under-) run during the transportation development process. This seminar presents a framework for identifying projects that are likely to experience cost overrun during the different stages of project development process. By analyzing cost escalation patterns during the period a project progresses from planning to construction, the risk of cost overrun can be reliably estimated. The information can allow transportation agencies to identify risky projects early and pre-empt potential cost overruns. A case study is presented to demonstrate the applicability of the developed framework.
SPEAKER
Dr. Kumares C. Sinha is the Edgar B. & Hedwig M. Olson Distinguished Professor of Civil Engineering and Director of the Joint Transportation Research Program of Purdue University and the Indiana Department of Transportation. His research interest is in the areas of transportation planning, engineering and management. He has authored or co-authored over 400 journal articles and other publications including a recent book, Transportation Decision Making: Principles of Project Evaluation and Programming, published by John Wiley & Sons. He has mentored numerous graduate and post- doctoral students worldwide. He advises governments at all levels and consults for the World Bank on transportation and infrastructure issues. He is a registered Professional Engineer and Honorary Member of the American Society of Civil Engineers. He has served as the President of the Transportation & Development Institute of the American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), President of the Research and Education Division of the American Road and Transportation Builders Association (ARTBA), President of the Council of University Transportation Centers (CUTC), and as a member of the Federal Advisory Council on Transportation Statistics. He is currently the Editor-in-Chief Emeritus of the Journal of Transportation Engineering. Dr. Sinha has received numerous honors, including the Award for Distinguished Contribution to University Transportation Education and Research given by the CUTC (2005), Wilbur S. Smith Distinguished Transportation Educator Award (2002) given jointly by the ITE and several other professional organizations, ASCE Francis C. Turner Lecture Award (2001), ARTBA Steinberg Award (2000), ASCE Harland Bartholomew Award (1996), Engineering Alumni Award of the University of Connecticut (1995), ASCE Arthur Wellington Prize (1992), ASCE Frank M. Masters Award (1986) and Fred Burggraf Award of the Transportation Research Board (TRB) of the National Research Council (1972). He is a member of the U.S. National Academy of Engineering.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
FREE Admission. Please reserve your seat with Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070 or Fax:
2334-6389
Funding Organization: Professional Services Development Assistance Scheme, Commerce and Economic Development Bureau, The Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region
Disclaimer: Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this material / any event organized under this Project do not reflect the views of the Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region or the Vetting Committee for the Professional Services Development Assistance Scheme.
Aggregation in transport network models
Dr. Richard Connors
Institute for Transport Studies, University of Leeds, UK
15 July, 2009 (Wednesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
Institute of Transport Studies, The University of Hong Kong
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 15 July, 2009 (Wednesday)
Time : 11:00 a.m. - 12:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 6-12B, 6/F., Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Transport models comprise a
representation of the network infrastructure, and of transport users who decide
how, where and when to travel. Naturally, the models used to optimise
micro-scale/short-term measures (e.g. timing of traffic lights), are different
from those used when planning major infrastructure (e.g. increasing motorway
capacity), or designing long term policy (e.g. for sustainable future transport
systems). However, we should expect such models to somehow 'agree' with each
other; transport network models on large spatial and temporal scales should be
consistent with those commonly used for smaller scale, nearer term forecasting.
In fact there is little understanding of what difference a change in scale makes
to model predictions, how to connect current transport models across different
scales of analysis and different data resolutions, and what it means for them to
be consistent.
In transport modelling, aggregation refers to the level of detail included in
network and behavioural models, and the methods used to summarise
characteristics of detailed models for larger scale analyses. For traffic flow
dynamics on a single link, there is some theory on aggregating individual
car-following models to give fluid flow PDEs and area speed-flow relationships.
For transport networks there is no such theory of aggregation. A key challenge
therefore is to establish theory and methods for the aggregation of network
models; to connect existing models across different scales, and to provide
aggregate representations of transport networks for large-scale, long-term
analyses.
In this seminar I will outline an analytic method for network aggregation. With
this in mind, I will consider how recent advances in the study of complex
networks might be used in the large-scale, long-term analysis of transport
networks.
SPEAKER
Dr. Connors gained his first degree in Mathematics (Oxford) and his PhD in Quantum Chaology (Bristol). This was followed by 3 years working as a MATLAB developer (Cambridge). In 2003 Dr Connors returned to academic research, joining the Institute for Transport Studies (Leeds). His current research concerns the representation of network infrastructure and human behaviour within transport network models across different scales of analysis, and the consistency of these mathematical formulations.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor S.C. Wong at Tel.: 2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Miss Aggie Sung at Tel.: 2859-1963
Valuing development projects: the cases of urban environment project of Yunnan, China, and non-motorized transport project of Pune, India
Dr. Hua Wang
Senior Economist, World Bank
17 March, 2009 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 17 March, 2009 (Tuesday)
Time : 5:00 p.m. - 6:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W601, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
This seminar discusses about the theory and methodology for estimating economic values of development projects. Willingness-to-pay studies of two development projects - the Pune Non-Motorized Transport Project and the Yunnan Urban Environment Project, will be used to illustrate the concept, the theory, as well as the methodologies. The potential issues and the ways to solve them will be presented and discussed.
SPEAKER
Dr. Hua Wang is a Senior Environmental Economist of the World Bank's Development Research Group, working on economics and policy of sustainable development in developing countries. He holds a Ph.D. in Environmental Economics, Management and Policy from the University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, and a B.S. in Astrophysics from Nanjing University. He taught in Nanjing University for 8 years before he went to the United States. He joined the World Bank's Development Research Group in 1995. He has published widely in the areas of environmental, ecological, resource, infrastructure and development economics.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. W.T. Hung at Tel.: 2766-6044
Please reserve your seat with Freda Chow at Tel: 2766-6051 or Fax:
2334-6389
A new quality measure for assessing trip table estimates from traffic counts
Dr. Anthony Chen
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Utah State University, Logan, Utah, USA
12 December, 2008 (Friday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
Institute of Transport Studies, The University of Hong Kong
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 12 December, 2008 (Friday)
Time : 6:30 p.m. - 7:30 p.m.
Venue : Room 6-12B, 6/F., Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
The uncertainty of an O-D trip table estimate is affected by two factors: (i) the errors of traffic counts and (ii) the multiplicity of solutions due to the underspecified nature of the problem. In this seminar, a new quality measure for assessing the O-D trip tables estimated from traffic counts will be presented. This new quality measure consists of two parts: (i) a generalized demand scale (GDS) measure for quantifying the intrinsic underspecified nature of the O-D estimation problem at various spatial levels, and (ii) confidence intervals to quantify the contribution of input errors (traffic counts) to the estimation results. Initial results using PFE (path flow estimator) as the O-D estimator show that the new quality measure is able to separate the two sources of uncertainty in constructing the confidence intervals at various spatial levels. Simulation results also confirm that the proposed quality measure indeed contain the true estimates within the defined confidence intervals.
SPEAKER
Dr. Anthony Chen is currently an Associate Professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at the Utah State University (USU). He is also the division head of the Transportation Program at USU. Dr. Chen's research interests include transportation systems modeling, modeling of route choice behavior under uncertainty, origin-destination trip table estimation, network equilibrium modeling and algorithm development, meta-heuristics for discrete network location and network design problems, and transportation network reliability and applications to infrastructure management and disaster management. He is a member of the Transportation Network Modeling Committee of the Transportation Research Board (TRB), an editorial advisory board member of the Journal of Urban Planning and Development, and an associate editor for Transportmetrica. Dr. Chen is a recipient of the 2002 National Science Foundation (NSF) Faculty Early Career Development (CAREER) Award in the United States.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor S.C. Wong at Tel.: 2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Miss Aggie Sung at Tel.: 2859-1963
Incident-management in
Central Arkansas: an ITS application
Federal-aid Project
Number: ITSR (001)
Professor Yupo Chan
University of Arkansas at Little Rock, USA
12 December, 2008 (Friday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
Department of Management Sciences, City University of Hong Kong
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
and
Institute of Transport Studies, The University of Hong Kong
Date : 12 December, 2008 (Friday)
Time : 5:30 p.m. - 6:30 p.m.
Venue : Room 6-12B, 6/F., Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
In this project, we are working
toward building a Traffic Incident Management Center. It provides not only a
shared database but an Incident Command Center (ICC) to motorists and operators
alike. All interested agencies can use the center, enhancing mutual cooperation
and coordination. Similar to other communities, incident-management activities
in Central Arkansas consists of Motorist Assistance Patrol, Towing and Wrecker
Service, Emergency Medical Services, Traffic Management at Work Zones, and
Traveler Information System.
We have four goals in our study. The first is to investigate
advanced incident-detection techniques. The second is to model the distribution
of incidents. The third is to choose the appropriate incident-response
strategies. And the fourth is to perform benefit/cost analysis.
Working toward real-time monitoring of traffic conditions, we are developing
routing algorithms to assist incident managers in decreasing response time and
motorists in re-routing around incidents. Here are some salient features of our
incident-management model:
o Provide a good tactic to allocate available
response vehicles to serve reported incidents.
o Pay attention to potential
incidents in ensuring a certain level of reliability in delivering quality
service overall.
o Reduce the negative impact of incidents as much as
possible.
In order to cater for potential incidents, available resources may not be
committed to the closest-by reported incidents-a somewhat counterintuitive
finding. The simulation result for Central Arkansas shows that the delay cost
& work time are reduced by about 20%, while the workload is also decreased.
The public is served better with less expenditure from the Arkansas State
Police, assuming the towing contractors are paid by their work time, instead of
by the number of dispatches.
In an Advanced Traveler Information System (ATIS), we study how to map a
driver's interests to real-time routing decisions. Accounting for en-route
delays and alternate routing, we found counter-intuitively that ATIS networks
exhibit non-FIFO behavior-drivers who depart earlier may not arrive ahead of
those who depart later. Given a time-dependent network, we consider waiting
en-route for an incident to clear. Viewed as an advance in computational
efficiency, we are able to model accurate arc travel-times yet using coarse
simulation time-intervals. Accordingly, the algorithm has been shown to be
operationally viable for real-time applications.
As a prototype, the proposed ICC serves three functions as follows.
o Publish
public information on 511, variable message signs, or the web site to announce
current incidents and dynamic travel time.
o Provide motorists with re-routing
paths to go around incidents.
o Assist incident operators to arrive at incident
scenes as quickly as possible, and advice managers in the judicious allocation
of resources.
SPEAKER
Yupo Chan received his PhD from
Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 1972. After 28 years of post-doctoral
experience in industry, universities and government, he became the Founding
Chair of the Department of Systems Engineering at the University of Arkansas at
Little Rock (UALR) Donaghey College of Engineering and Information Technology (EIT
College) in 2000.
Before coming to the UALR CyberCollege, Chan worked at The Air Force Institute
of Technology, Washington State University, the State University of New York at
Stony Brook, Pennsylvania State University, and Kates, Peat Marwick.
Additionally, he was a Congressional Fellow in the Office of Technology
Assessment in Washington, DC.
Chan's training and research focus on transportation systems,
telecommunications, networks and combinatorial optimization, multi-criteria
decision-making and spatial-temporal information. Chan has published numerous
books and monographs, including Location Theory and Decision Analysis
(Thomson/South-Western); Location, Transportation, and Land-Use: Modeling
Spatial-temporal Information (Springer); Urban Planning and Development
Applications of GIS (ASCE Press).
For more information, visit his home page at http://syen.ualr.edu/metalab/.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor S.C. Wong at Tel.: 2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Miss Aggie Sung at Tel.: 2859-1963
A framework for deployment planning of bus rapid transit systems
Professor Avishai (Avi) Ceder
Professor and Chair in Transportation and Director of Transportation Research Centre, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Auckland, New Zealand
11 June, 2008 (Wednesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
Institute of Transport Studies, The University of Hong Kong
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 11 June, 2008 (Wednesday)
Time : 6:30 p.m. - 7:30 p.m.
Venue : Room 6-12B, 6/F., Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
A bus rapid transit (BRT)
system differs from more traditional rail and bus services by its features that
can combine most of the qualities of light rail transit (LRT) with highly
flexible service and advanced technologies to improve customer convenience and
system reliability. BRT can thus be seen as a bus-based "rapid"
transit system that combines vehicles stations, running way, and Intelligent
Transportation Systems (ITS) elements into a fully integrated system with a
unique identity. The planning process of a BRT system can generally be divided
into three interrelated stages:
1) Feasibility study or major investment study in which BRT
is investigated among other alternatives, such as light-rail and heavy rail
transit to determine the most cost-effective investment
2) Deployment planning
that determines what BRT elements will be included and their deployment sequence
3) Operations planning including designing routes and stations, setting
timetables, scheduling vehicles, and assigning crew.
While the first and
third stages are essentially planning-specific for any transit service, the
second stage has special features for a BRT system due to its flexibility in
incremental deployment of BRT elements. This presentation proposes a
deployment-planning framework that provides, in a sequence of steps, a general
structure for optimal deployment of bus rapid transit systems. This framework
and its formulation, once operationalized, would provide transit agencies a
practical tool for determining the optimal deployment strategy or strategies
given budgetary, institutional and other types of constraints associated with
the corridor for which they have decided to deploy bus rapid transit. A case
study example is provided to illustrate how the proposed framework would be
utilized.
SPEAKER
Professor Avishai (Avi) Ceder has arrived in November 2007 to the University of Auckland to take the position of Professor-Chair in Transportation, within the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering. Avi has had a distinguished career at the Technion, Israel Institute of Technology, in the Faculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering where he was Head of the Transportation Engineering and Geo-Information Department. He was Visiting Professor twice at MIT (Massachusetts Institute of Technology), the University of California at Berkeley, the University of Science and Technology and PolyTechnic University in Hong Kong, and in the University of Tokyo; he also delivered courses in Sydney University and Monash University in Australia and in the University of Rome. Avi was Chief Scientist at the Israel Ministry of Transport from 1994 to 1997, Israel delegate to the Transport Program of the European Community and he is a member of organizing committees of various international symposia and workshops (e.g., TRB, International Conference on Advanced Systems for Public Transport, International Symposium of Transportation and Traffic Theory). He has just released a new book 'Public Transit Planning and Operation: Theory, Modelling and Practice' , Elsevier, 2007.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor S.C. Wong at Tel.: 2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Miss Aggie Sung at Tel.: 2859-1963
GradeX - A web-based decision support tool for safety analysis of highway-railway networks
Professor Liping Fu, Ph.D., P.Eng.
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Waterloo, Canada
28 May, 2008 (Wednesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 28 May, 2008 (Wednesday)
Time : 5:00 p.m. - 6:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W703d, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
GradeX is a prototype decision-support tool that could be used by safety engineers and decision-makers in Canada to identify and target grade crossing hotspots, evaluate countermeasures, and prioritize safety improvement projects. This presentation provides an overview of this tool, mainly focusing on: a) the various decision support needs arising in grade crossing safety work; b) the system framework and components of GradeX; b) the alternative methodologies for hotspot identification, and d) the resource optimization model for prioritizing safety improvement projects.
SPEAKER
Dr. Liping Fu is a Professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at the University of Waterloo, Canada. Dr. Fu's research interest specifically focuses on evaluation and optimization of large, complex traffic and transportation service systems where uncertainty and dynamics play a major role, and on the development of decision support tools for use in managing these systems. Dr. Fu has a track record of research contributions to the areas of intelligent transportation systems, public transit, traffic safety, and winter road maintenance, including over 80 journal and conference publications. Dr. Fu has developed a commercial routing and scheduling system which has been implemented in US and Canada. He is also the developer of a simulation system that can be used to evaluate advanced paratransit systems equipped with GPS and fleet communication systems. He has provided technical services to many transportation agencies, including Transport Canada, City of Edmonton, and Ministry of Transportation Ontario. Dr. Fu is a member of the Transportation Research Board's Paratransit Committee, a member of the Editorial Advisory Board of the journal of Transportation Research, a member of the Intelligent Transportation Systems Society of Canada, Canadian Urban Transit Association, Institute of Transportation Engineers.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070 or Fax:
2334-6389
An integrated transportation network reliability analysis framework
Dr. Anthony Chen, Ph.D.
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Utah State University,
USA28 May, 2008 (Wednesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 28 May, 2008 (Wednesday)
Time : 4:00 p.m. - 5:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W703d, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
In this seminar, Dr. Chen will present an integrated transportation network reliability analysis framework for studying the reliability issues of a transportation system. This integrated analysis framework entails modeling, evaluation, design, algorithm development and implementation. The modeling aspect includes the estimation of the maximum capacity of a transportation network and the development of stochastic route choice models that account for both perception error and network uncertainty; the evaluation aspect involves the assessment of transportation reliability measures: travel time reliability is concerned with the probability that a trip between a given origin-destination pair can be made within a given time interval or a specified level-of-service, and capacity reliability is concerned with the probability that the network capacity can accommodate the required travel demand at a required service level; the design aspect addresses the issues of designing road networks that are both reliable and cost-effective; and, finally, the algorithm development and implementation aspects are crucial to making the framework operational and successful. Some potential applications using this integrated analysis framework will also be discussed in the seminar.
SPEAKER
Dr. Anthony Chen is currently an Associate Professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at the Utah State University (USU). He is also the division head of the Transportation Program at USU. Dr. Chen's research interests include transportation systems modeling, modeling of route choice behavior under uncertainty, origin-destination trip table estimation, network equilibrium modeling and algorithm development, meta-heuristics for discrete network location and network design problems, and transportation network reliability and applications to infrastructure management and disaster management. He is a member of the Transportation Network Modeling Committee of the Transportation Research Board (TRB), an editorial advisory board member of the Journal of Urban Planning and Development, and an associate editor for Transportmetrica. Dr. Chen is a recipient of the 2002 National Science Foundation (NSF) Faculty Early Career Development (CAREER) Award in the United States.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070 or Fax:
2334-6389
Optimization under uncertainty with applications in ITS
Professor Liping Fu, Ph.D., P.Eng.
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Waterloo, Canada
25 March, 2008 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 25 March, 2008 (Tuesday)
Time : 5:00 p.m. - 6:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W601, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
In this presentation, Dr. Fu will provide an overview of several optimization problems that he and his research team have been involved over the past ten years. Most of these problems arise in the specific transportation engineering field called Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), which is aimed at improving the management and operations of the existing transportation facilities by applying advanced sensors, telecommunication, and computer technologies. Example problems include vehicle routing and scheduling in dynamic and stochastic networks, real-time transit operation control, locating of traffic changeable measure signs, and scheduling of winter road maintenance vehicles, and hotspot identification and countermeasure analysis. His presentation will focus on how inherent uncertainties in these problems as well as availability of real-time information are treated.
SPEAKER
Dr. Liping Fu is a Professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at the University of Waterloo, Canada. Dr. Fu's research interest specifically focuses on evaluation and optimisation of large, complex traffic and transportation service systems where uncertainty and dynamics play a major role, and on the development of decision support tools for use in managing these systems. Dr. Fu has a track record of research contributions to the areas of intelligent transportation systems, public transit, traffic safety, and winter road maintenance, including over 80 journal and conference publications. Dr. Fu has developed a commercial routing and scheduling system which has been implemented in US and Canada. He is also the developer of a simulation system that can be used to evaluate advanced paratransit systems equipped with GPS and fleet communication systems. He has provided technical services to many transportation agencies, including Transport Canada, City of Edmonton, and Ministry of Transportation Ontario. Dr. Fu is a member of the Transportation Research Board's Paratransit Committee, a member of the Editorial Advisory Board of the journal of Transportation Research, a member of the Intelligent Transportation Systems Society of Canada, Canadian Urban Transit Association, Institute of Transportation Engineers.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070 or Fax:
2334-6389
Some issues related to planning highway and rail "evaculation" under tsunami warning conditions
Professor S.C. Wirasinghe
Department of Civil Engineering, Schulich School of Engineering, University of Calgary, Canada
25 March, 2008 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 25 March, 2008 (Tuesday)
Time : 4:00 p.m. - 5:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W601, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
An introduction is given to natural disasters, and the related issues of probability of occurrence, warning time available, amount of devastation, and the manageability of evacuations. Some slides indicating the impact of the December 2004 Tsunami on the Sri Lankan coastal highways and railways are shown. A proposed Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System is shown in network format. A proposed evacuation plan for coastal highways and railways is also shown as a network. The probability of a successful evacuation as a function of time from an earthquake (that causes a tsunami) is estimated for a coastal highway and railway respectively from Monte Carlo simulation. Some of the issues that have to be resolved in this study, which has been initiated recently, are discussed.
SPEAKER
Professor S.C. Wirasinghe is at the Department of Civil Engineering, Schulich school of Engineering, University of Calgary, CANADA. His research interests are in transportation, natural hazard mitigation, and systems analysis. He is the Co-Editor-in-Chief of the Journal of Advanced Transportation and the Founder of the International Institute for Infrastructure Renewal and Reconstruction, (IIIRR - www.iiirr.ucalgary.ca) a virtual network devoted to natural disaster mitigation. He is proud to be an Honorary Professor at the HK Polytechnic University.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070 or Fax:
2334-6389
Effects of neighborhood street pattern on traffic safety
Professor Richard Tay, P.Eng.
AMA/CTEP Chair in Road Safety, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Calgary, Canada
20 February, 2008 (Wednesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
The Hong Kong Institution of Engineers, Civil Division
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 20 February, 2008 (Wednesday)
Time : 6:00 p.m. - 7:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 6-12B, 6/F., Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Over the last fifty years, the loops and lollipop design have become the basic building block of many urban neighborhoods. In the field of traffic engineering, this combination of cul-de-sac and loop streets is designed to discourage through traffic and improve road safety and thus has the support of many traffic engineers. Perhaps due to its intuitive appeal, few studies were conducted to examine the impact of this design on road crashes. Using the City of Calgary in Canada as a case study, this study examines the effects of different neighborhood street pattern on the number of crashes. Our results suggest that currently popular road patterns such as warped parallel, loops and lollipops, lollipops on a stick and mixed shape are safer than traditional grid-iron pattern.
SPEAKER
Dr Richard Tay, P.Eng., is currently the AMA/CTEP Chair in Road Safety in the Department of Civil Engineering at the University of Calgary. He has taught in Singapore, Hong Kong, New Zealand and Australia, and was a visiting scholar at MIT. He is a firm believer in multidisciplinary theory and evidence based approaches to addressing road safety issues. He has been invited to many government panels, committees & task forces on road safety in Canada and around the world. He served on the editorial board of several scientific journals and has been invited to speak at and has chaired technical sessions at many road safety conferences around the world.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor S.C. Wong at Tel.: 2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Miss Aggie Sung at Tel.: 2859-1963
Queue control for signalized intersections modelling
Dr. Wei Lin
Department of Systems and Industrial Engineering, University of Arizona, USA.
18 December, 2007 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 18 December, 2007 (Tuesday)
Time : 11:00 a.m. - 12:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W601, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Congestion on arterials is often dominated by several key intersections. When these intersections become very congested, queues can spill back from one intersection to another, resulting in excessive delays to vehicles or even gridlock situations at neighboring intersections. For traffic control at individual or a sequence of signalized intersections, minimization of total vehicle delay and minimization of total number of vehicle stops are the two major objectives often considered in many existing optimization algorithms. In this talk, we consider queue management for individual and multiple intersections. We show that proper queue management may lead to control strategies that are robust in its performance with respect to input data required and different objective functions. For single intersections, we show that queue states from the previous cycle can be utilized to determine the allocation of green time to each approach such that queues at both approaches will vanish at the same time. This is achievable by treating the system as a work conserving service. For multiple intersections, we consider queue management specifically for arterials with closely spaced intersections. The property of the spatial queue formed on the short block and its effect on neighboring traffic are examined. We will discuss some control strategies aimed at mitigating the negative impact of the spillback of queues into the intersection upstream.
SPEAKER
Dr. Lin earned his PhD in Civil Engineering from the University of California at Berkeley. He has worked with the California PATH program as a post doctoral research fellow for two years. He is currently an associate professor in the Department of Systems and Industrial Engineering at University of Arizona. Dr. Lin has over ten years of experience in transportation system analysis, traffic operations, and transportation data analysis. His project experience includes evaluating dynamic traffic simulation and analytical models and their functions in ATMIS applications; examining the benefits of traffic responsive signal coordination strategies in minimizing total system delay, and developing computer simulation models capable of capturing moving queues consistent with the hydrodynamic theory of traffic flow. For the past five years, Dr. Lin has been involved in a number of research projects in transportation, including transportation network modeling, traffic data analysis, applications of AVL technologies to transit operations, prediction and estimation of traffic variables and traffic conditions, logistics, and traffic safety analysis. Dr. Lin is a member of the Intelligent Transportation Systems committee, Transportation Research Board, the US National Research Council.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070 or Fax:
2334-6389
Twenty years research into stochastic assignment modelling
Professor Mike Maher
Institute for Transport Studies, Leeds University, UK
12 December, 2007 (Wednesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 12 December, 2007 (Wednesday)
Time : 5:00 p.m. - 6:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W601, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
The speaker has been actively involved in research on traffic assignment methodology for over twenty years, and has been particularly interested in stochastic or probabilistic methods, in which it is assumed that there are variations between different drivers' perceptions and preferences in their choices of routes through road networks. The seminar will trace the development of this work, from the original numerical stochastic loading method, though efficient methods for obtaining the stochastic user equilibrium (SUE) solution by use of optimal step lengths, and for allowing for elastic demand, and on to more recent work on stochastic social optimum (SSO) and departure time choice, highlighting the significant milestones and results along the way. The seminar will end by looking briefly at other, bi-level, problems that involve assignment and at current directions of research in this field.
SPEAKER
Mike Maher is Professor of the Mathematical Analysis of Transport Systems at the Institute for Transport Studies at the University of Leeds, UK. His research is in the mathematical and statistical modelling of transport problems, especially in the areas of network modelling, optimisation and traffic safety modelling. Having graduated with a BA and PhD from St. John's College, Cambridge University, he held posts in the Institute for Transport Studies at Leeds University, and then the Department of Probability & Statistics at Sheffield University, before joining the Transport Research Laboratory in 1987. In 1994, he moved to the Transport Research Institute at Napier University, Edinburgh. He retired from Napier in early 2007 and took up his current part-time post at Leeds University. He is a Fellow of the Institute of Mathematics & its Applications, a Chartered Statistician, is the author of over 100 papers, and is on the Editorial Advisory Board for the international journal Transportation Research B.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070 or Fax:
2334-6389
Re-visiting queuing theory for the analysis of vehicle delays at intersections
Professor Pitu Mirchandani
Professor
and Director, ATLAS Research Center
Systems and Industrial Engineering
Department, The University of Arizona, USA
12 December, 2007 (Wednesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
Department of Systems Engineering and Engineering Management, The Chinese University of Hong Kong
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 12 December, 2007 (Wednesday)
Time : 4:00 p.m. - 5:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W601, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
About fifty years ago, there
was an active research area on developing queuing models to analyze traffic at
isolated intersections. Wardrop, Webster, Newell, and others developed formulae
to estimate delays at intersections controlled by traffic lights. As control
systems became complex and computer simulation models became more readily
available, fewer researchers developed analytical models for analyzing queues at
controlled intersections.
This talk revisits such models and develops new
results on queues where the server (1) periodically cycles between two customer
classes, (2) adaptively serves the two classes (where one class is served until
its queue vanishes and then the other is served), and (3) nearly periodically
serves these classes (where each service period is slightly extended or
decreased depending on arriving customers).
To obtain performance measures such
as average queue lengths and average delays, iterative computations need to be
performed to get steady state conditions. The results of the models are compared
with those obtained by simulation models. Such queues occur at intersections
controlled by traffic lights and comparisons of the performance measures
indicate that indeed traffic adaptive control decreases delays; however, traffic
sensors are needed to measure queues in this case.
SPEAKER
Dr. Pitu B. Mirchandani is a
Professor of Systems & Industrial Engineering and Electrical & Computer
Engineering at the University of Arizona. He is the Director of the ATLAS
Research Center and is the Salt River Project Professor of Technology, Public
Policy and Markets. His educational background includes BS and MS degrees in
Engineering from UCLA, a S.M. degree from MIT in Aeronautics and Astronautics,
and a Sc.D. degree, also from MIT, in Operations Research.
Dr. Mirchandani has
several areas of technical expertise and interests, including theories, models
and algorithms in operations research and systems engineering, and their
application to transportation, logistics and real-time information and control
systems. In particular, his research in the areas of stochastic dynamic
networks, location theory, decision making under uncertainty and competition,
and intelligent transportation systems has received wide attention. He has
co-authored two books and authored or co-authored over 90 articles. He has been
on the editorial boards of Transportation Science, IIE Transactions on
Scheduling and Logistics, Journal of Industrial Mathematics, Journal of
Technology, Policy and Management, and Journal of Advanced Transportation.
Dr.
Mirchandani has over 30 years of academic and professional experience. He has
been a principal investigator on a large number of research programs, which
received total funding of over seven million dollars in the last ten years, from
federal agencies such as NSF, USDOT and FHWA, state agencies such as NYDOT,
Arizona DOT, and NYS-ERDA, and private companies such as Siemens, ITT Systems,
Cambridge Systematics, GM, Hughes, Alcoa, GE, Kodak, NYNEX, USWest, and
AT&T. His recent research projects in the areas of Intelligent
Transportation Systems, Real-Time Traffic Adaptive Signal Control, and Remote
Airborne Sensing of Transportation Flows, mostly supported by USDOT/FHWA/ADOT
has attracted significant publicity; Dr. Mirchandani has appeared on several
television programs and in newspaper articles. In the last ten years he has
given over 100 presentations, including plenary lectures in China, Germany,
South Africa, Hungary and Austria.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070 or Fax:
2334-6389
Real-time performance measures for signalized intersections
Professor Darcy Bullock, P.E.
Professor and Associate Head, School of Civil Engineering, Purdue University, USA
6 December, 2007 (Thursday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 6 December, 2007 (Thursday)
Time : 5:00 p.m. - 6:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 6-12B, 6/F., Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Although signal retiming
projects have very large benefit/cost ratios, they are expensive and the need
for retiming projects always far exceeds the limited resources of operating
agencies. For nearly forty years, the traffic signal profession has sought
signal systems that use sensors to adjust signal timings. Although there have
been many isolated pockets of success with projects such as SCOOT, SCATS, ACS,
and ACS-Lite, it is clear we have major opportunities for improving traffic
signal operations by developing real-time performance measures that can be
easily understood.
This presentation articulates the core vision a multi-vendor and multi-agency
team that is applying manufacturing quality control procedures to traffic signal
systems to systematically define, measure, analyze, improve, and ultimately
control traffic. A case study based upon instrumented intersections in West
Lafayette and Noblesville, IN will be discussed and several quantitative
performance measure graphs will be presented that detail how we can leverage our
existing traffic signal infrastructure to provide meaningful real-time reports
characterizing green time allocation, cycle lengths, offsets, and pedestrian
service.
SPEAKER
Darcy Bullock is a Professor and Associate Head in the School of Civil Engineering at Purdue University. Bullock is a Registered Professional Engineer in the States of Louisiana and Indiana and has 15 years of experience in the industry working closely with vendors, state agencies, and USDOT, and colleagues at other universities. Bullock teaching, research and consulting interests have been in the general area of traffic signal systems. He received a B.S. in Civil Engineering from the University of Vermont, and a M.S. and a Ph.D. in Civil Engineering from Carnegie Mellon University. Dr. Bullock is the past chair of the American Society of Civil Engineer Advanced Technology Committee and past Secretary for the Transportation Research Board Traffic Signal System Committee. Over the past 15 years, Bullock has completed several projects with the Federal Highway Administration, National Cooperative Highway Research Program, National Science Foundation, as well as Louisiana, Texas, Indiana, Idaho, Wisconsin, Vermont, and Virginia DOT. The results of those projects are published in over 100 journal articles, conference proceedings, and technical reports.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor S.C. Wong at Tel.: 2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Miss Aggie Sung at Tel.: 2859-1963
Towards a probit-based dynamic stochastic traffic assignment model
Professor Mike Maher
Institute for Transport Studies, Leeds University, UK
27 November, 2007 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 27 November, 2007 (Tuesday)
Time : 5:00 p.m. - 6:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 3574 (Lift 27/28), Civil Engineering Department Conference Room, Chia-Wei Woo Academic Concourse, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clearwater Bay, Kowloon
ABSTRACT
The speaker has worked on traffic assignment methodology for over twenty years, specialising in stochastic assignment methods. The good properties of the Multinomial Probit (MNP) for choice modelling are well-known: it can deal with correlations between the perception errors associated with different choices, as arising through overlapping routes or similar departure times for example. Work by the author and his colleagues over many years has tested a variety of numerical approximation methods for MNP loading, as well as applying them route choice in (static) SUE assignment, and to departure time choice, as well as to parameter estimation in choice models. In the seminar, the author will describe his recent and current work on the application of these methods to the development of a solution algorithm for dynamic traffic assignment. In this, the users are assumed to make simultaneous choice of route and departure time, based on the current estimates of the total travel cost associated with each route and each departure time. A simple traffic model is used to propagate these flows through the network, and to estimate revised travel costs. An iterative process then alternately applied the choice model and the traffic model, towards convergence. The seminar will describe the current state of this work, and some of the outstanding issues yet to be resolved.
SPEAKER
Mike Maher is Professor of the Mathematical Analysis of Transport Systems at the Institute for Transport Studies at the University of Leeds, UK. His research is in the mathematical and statistical modelling of transport problems, especially in the areas of network modelling, optimisation and traffic safety modelling. Having graduated with a BA and PhD from St. John's College, Cambridge University, he held posts in the Institute for Transport Studies at Leeds University, and then the Department of Probability & Statistics at Sheffield University, before joining the Transport Research Laboratory in 1987. In 1994, he moved to the Transport Research Institute at Napier University, Edinburgh. He retired from Napier in early 2007 and took up his current part-time post at Leeds University. He is a Fellow of the Institute of Mathematics & its Applications, a Chartered Statistician, is the author of over 100 papers, and is on the Editorial Advisory Board for the international journal Transportation Research B.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor Hong Lo at Tel.: 2358-8742
Please reserve your seat with Ms Rebecca Yau at Tel.: 2358-7164
Rational road safety management - from theory to practice
Professor Bhagwant Persaud
Department of Civil Engineering, Ryerson University, Toronto, Canada
9 November, 2007 (Friday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 9 November, 2007 (Friday)
Time : 5:00 p.m. - 6:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W601, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Rational management of road safety has been a hot topic of late in the light of the growing recognition of the serious public health consequences of injuries and fatalities to travelers. The seminar begins by tracing the evolution of road safety management over the past 50 years and ends with a vision for the future. Between the beginning and end, a framework for rational road safety management is introduced, along with initiatives aimed at providing the necessary analytical tools and knowledge. The meat of the seminar will provide a discussion of the problems with conventional tools and knowledge, a review of solutions to these problems, and a presentation of research aimed at applying these solutions to improve the knowledge base. The focus will be on knowledge on the safety implications of planning and design decisions that affect safety and on the application of Bayesian statistics in developing and applying that knowledge.
SPEAKER
Bhagwant Persaud, a professor of Civil Engineering at Ryerson University, has become well recognized, in Canada, the United States, and around the world, as an expert in the area of statistical methods in highway safety analysis. He is particularly well known for his work in modeling the relationship between safety and highway characteristics, and in the development and application of these models in Bayesian methods for road network screening and conducting before-after safety evaluation studies. This background led to his selection to write National Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP) Synthesis 295: "Statistical Methods in Highway Safety Analysis", a widely read document that provides factual knowledge on the state of research and practice in safety analysis tools. Dr. Persaud has been, and is currently involved in several safety related applied research projects for the Transportation Research Board (TRB), the US Federal Highway Administration (FHWA), Transport Canada, the Transportation Association of Canada, and the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety (IIHS). Recent and current safety analysis efforts included evaluations of traffic signal installation, roundabouts, left turn priority treatments, skid treatments, rumble strips and raised pavement markers (for TRB), red light cameras, and two-way left turn lanes (For FHWA), centreline rumble strips and traffic signal removal (for the IIHS). Dr. Persaud's expertise in highway safety area is supported by, and has led to prestigious appointments for the past several years on two TRB committees: "Safety Data, Analysis and Evaluation" (ANB20) and "Statistical Methodology and Statistical Computer Software in Transportation Research" (ABJ80). He has also been selected as a member of a TRB Task Force (ANB25T) that is guiding a major initiative in the road safety field - the development of a Highway Safety Manual that is providing the practicing engineer with the necessary to conduct analyses in road safety management. Most recently, Dr. Persaud has been involved in research for several chapters of this Manual.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070 or Fax:
2334-6389
Identifying the marginal cost for hyper-congested traffic
Professor Alan Nicholson
Head of Civil Engineering, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand
2 August, 2007 (Thursday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 2 August, 2007 (Thursday)
Time : 4:00 p.m. - 5:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 3574 (Lift 27/28), Civil Engineering Department Conference Room, Chia-Wei Woo Academic Concourse, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clearwater Bay, Kowloon
ABSTRACT
There have been numerous studies of the merits and demerits of congestion charges for roads, in an effort to equalise the marginal cost and marginal utility. The studies rely upon speed being related to traffic flow. Traffic flow theory and empirical data support a U-shaped relationship for links, which implies two flow regimes (normal and forced/hyper-congested flow) and hence two speed values for a given traffic flow. This ambiguity has led to various other speed-flow relationships being used, on the grounds that a U-shaped is not appropriate for networks. While the marginal cost curve has been clearly defined for normal flow, it has not been clearly defined for hyper-congested flow, although several researchers have suggested various locations. In this seminar, Alan Nicholson will argue that it is appropriate to use a U-shaped speed-flow relationship for a network, and will show that for a general U-shaped speed-flow relationship, the marginal cost curve is quite different from earlier suggestions, and cannot intersect the marginal utility curve.
SPEAKER
Qualifications: BE(Hons), ME and PhD (all in Civil Engineering, from the University of Canterbury), plus an MSc in Transportation & Traffic Planning (from the University of Birmingham, UK). His research interests include: traffic safety, transport network reliability, and the appraisal and evaluation of transport projects. Prof. Nicholson has a particular interest in developing and promoting the use of sound statistical and probabilistic methods. He is a Fellow of the New Zealand Institution of Professional Engineers, and recently retired as National Chairman of the Institution's Transportation Group. Currently, Prof. Nicholson is Head of the Department of Civil Engineering at the University of Canterbury (Christchurch, New Zealand).
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor Hong Lo at Tel.: 2358-8742
Please reserve your seat with Ms Rebecca Yau at Tel.: 2358-7164
The traffic network equilibrium model: its history and relationship to the Kuhn-Tucker conditions flow
Professor David Boyce
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Northwestern University
30 May, 2007 (Wednesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
Department of Civil Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 30 May, 2007 (Wednesday)
Time : 5:30 p.m. - 6:30 p.m.
Venue : Room W703d, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
The original formulation of the traffic network equilibrium model with variable demand, by Beckmann, McGuire and Winsten during 1952-1954, was perhaps the first time that the Kuhn-Tucker Conditions, introduced in 1950, were the basis for formulating an optimization model for solving a real-world problem. This seminar will explore the original formulation of this model by Martin Beckmann, and offer conjectures on how he found the model formulation, based on analysis of their book and related documents from that period. The Kuhn-Tucker Conditions and Kirchhoff's Law will be examined to provide an understanding of how Beckmann may have approached the formulation of his model. (Students attending the seminar will be expected to be familiar with the basic results of constrained optimization methods.)
To place Beckmann's contribution in a larger context, the relationship of their research at the Cowles Commission for Research in Economics, then located at the University of Chicago, to studies by Duffin, Prager, Charnes and Cooper, Jorgensen and Braess will be briefly described. Beckmann's model will also be contrasted with urban travel forecasting practices stemming from the same period. A discussion of insights from this historical analysis will conclude the seminar.
SPEAKER
Dr. David Boyce is Adjunct Professor in transportation engineering at Northwestern University, and Professor Emeritus of Transportation and Regional Science at the University of Illinois at Chicago. Since taking Emeritus status in 2003, he has undertaken research on the history and use of urban travel forecasting methods, as well as occasional lecturing and teaching. His long term research interests pertain to improving the understanding and validity of travel forecasting methods, especially as related to the consistent representation of congested network travel times, and their efficient computation with commercial software systems, as well as the relation of land use models to travel forecasting procedures.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070 or Fax:
2334-6389
Some computational findings on solving the four-stage procedure with feedback
Professor David Boyce
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Northwestern University
30 May, 2007 (Wednesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 30 May, 2007 (Wednesday)
Time : 11:00 a.m. - 12:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 3574 (Lift 27/28), Civil Engineering Department Conference Room, Chia-Wei Woo Academic Concourse, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clearwater Bay, Kowloon
ABSTRACT
Alternative feedback solution methods for the Four-stage Travel Forecasting Procedure were applied to a 1,000 zone model. Three methods were tested: Naïve Feedback (no averaging of trip matrices or link flows); Averaging with Constant Weights, applied to the trip matrices; Method of Successive Averages (MSA), also applied to trip matrices. The findings will be presented and interpreted in the framework of combined or integrated travel forecasting models.
SPEAKER
Dr. David Boyce is Adjunct Professor in transportation engineering at Northwestern University, and Professor Emeritus of Transportation and Regional Science at the University of Illinois at Chicago. Since taking Emeritus status in 2003, he has undertaken research on the history and use of urban travel forecasting methods, as well as occasional lecturing and teaching. His long term research interests pertain to improving the understanding and validity of travel forecasting methods, especially as related to the consistent representation of congested network travel times, and their efficient computation with commercial software systems, as well as the relation of land use models to travel forecasting procedures.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. Hong Lo at Tel.: 2358-8742
Please reserve your seat with Ms Rebecca Yau at Tel.: 2358-7164
A pedestrian behavior model for capacity evaluation in multidirectional flow
Dr. Miho Asano
The French National Institute for Transport and Safety Research (INRETS), France
14 April, 2007 (Saturday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
and
The University of Calgary Schulich School of Engineering Alumni Chapter (SSEAC) - Hong Kong Branch
Date : 14 April, 2007 (Saturday)
Time : 11:00 a.m. - 12:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W703d, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Recently, several pedestrian models are proposed to evaluate the pedestrian congestion for the purpose of designing public transport stations, event venues, sidewalks etc. Modelling pedestrian flow is complex because the pedestrians can move in any direction in an open space. Existing pedestrian flow models have encountered the difficulty in representing the multidirectional flows particularly when the pedestrian flows approach the facility capacity (congested condition). Thus, developing a model based on empirical data may provide a better understanding on this issue. This research proposes a new pedestrian simulation model in which the pedestrian's velocity is governed by his/her anticipation of other pedestrians' behaviours nearby. The proposed model is validated using the observed data collected in a controlled pedestrian movement experiment. The data is also used to verify that the proposed model can better represent the multidirectional pedestrian movements especially in the near capacity conditions.
SPEAKER
Dr. Miho ASANO is currently a researcher of the French National Institute for Transport and Safety Research (INRETS). She was a research fellow of the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science from 2005 to 2007. She recently received a D. Eng. in Civil Engineering from the University of Tokyo in Mar 2007, and MS and BS in the same department. Her research interests include pedestrian flow analysis, pedestrian network analysis, and simulation modeling.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. Agachai
Sumalee at
Tel.: 3400-3963
Please reserve your seat with Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070 or Fax:
2334-6389
Identifying critical links by linearised network capacity evaluation model
Dr. Fumitaka Kurauchi
Department of Urban Management, Kyoto University, Japan
26 March, 2007 (Monday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
and
The University of Calgary Schulich School of Engineering Alumni Chapter (SSEAC) - Hong Kong Branch
Date : 26 March, 2007 (Monday)
Time : 5:00 - 6:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W703d, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Various indicators and methodologies for measuring the network robustness/reliability were proposed in the literature including connectivity reliability, travel time reliability, vulnerability, and capacity reliability. In this paper, the concept of network capacity reliability and vulnerability are integrated to evaluate network robustness and its critical components. To examine reliability/vulnerability of the transport network, it is necessary to include a form of users' responses to the change in network condition. This consideration defines the evaluation of the network reserve capacity as a bilevel programming problem. Incorporating this with the network vulnerability analysis which is also an optimization problem itself, one may end up with a rather complex mathematical programming problem (i.e. tri-level optimization). This paper resolves this issue by replacing the users' equilibrium condition (Probit SUE is adopted in the model) by its sensitivity analysis expression. This turns the network reserve capacity problem to a well-defined single level optimization problem in which its optimality condition can be derived as KKT conditions. This optimality condition is then inserted into the vulnerability analysis problem. The proposed method is checked by the small example network, and then applied to the larger Kansai network.
SPEAKER
Dr. Fumitaka Kurauchi finished the master course at the Department of Transportation Engineering, Kyoto University in 1994. He has become a research associate since then. He has been involved in various research projects such as evaluation of parking guidance and information system, development of traffic management system after major disaster, transport network reliability analysis, traffic flow analysis by video image data, and so on. In 2002, he obtained the Doctor of Engineering by the thesis entitled "Study on changes on parking behaviour by the introduction of advanced parking management system and its effect on road network traffic".
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. Agachai
Sumalee at
Tel.: 3400-3963
Please reserve your seat with Connie Lam at Tel: 2766-6070 or Fax:
2334-6389
Tools for Operations Planning (TOPL) with an application to I-210 in Los Angeles
Professor Pravin Varaiya
Nortel
Networks Distinguished Professor, Electrical Engineering and Computer Science
University
of California, Berkeley, USA
and
Visiting Distinguished
Professor, The University of Hong Kong
13 February, 2007 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 13 February, 2007 (Tuesday)
Time : 6:00 - 7:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 5583 (Lift 29/30), The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clearwater Bay, Kowloon
ABSTRACT
The freeway performance measurement system (PeMS) tracks California freeway performance, and shows the weaknesses in freeway operations. These weaknesses are opportunities for freeway productivity gains that can be realized in the short term. The TOPL project will provide tools to (1) specify the actions for operational improvements considered in the TMS Master Plan; (2) quickly estimate the benefits that such actions can realize; and (3) prepare a detection plan to support implementation of actions, accurately measure the ex post benefits of those actions, and compare them with their ex ante estimates. The talk will give a progress report on TOPL, including a description of the simulation tool CTMsim and application to ramp metering in I210W freeway in Los Angeles.
SPEAKER
Pravin Varaiya is Nortel Networks Distinguished Professor in the Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences at the University of California, Berkeley. From 1975 to 1992 he was also Professor of Economics at Berkeley. From 1994 to 1997 he was Director of the California PATH program, a multi-university research program dedicated to the solution of California’s transportation problems. His current research is concerned with communication networks, transportation, and hybrid systems. He has taught at MIT and the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro. Professor Varaiya has held a Guggenheim Fellowship and a Miller Research Professorship. He received Honorary Doctorates from L’Institut National Polytechnique de Toulouse and L’Institut National Polytechnique de Grenoble, and the Field Medal and Bode Lecture Prize of the IEEE Control Systems Society. He is a Fellow of IEEE, a member of the National Academy of Engineering, and a Fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. He is on the editorial board of "Discrete Event Dynamical Systems" and "Transportation Research---C". He has co-authored three books and 300 technical papers. The second edition of “High-Performance Communication Networks” (with Jean Walrand and Andrea Goldsmith) was published by Morgan-Kaufmann in 2000. “Structure and interpretation of signals and systems” (with Edward Lee) was published by Addison-Wesley in 2003. Varaiya is a member of the Board of Directors of Sensys Networks.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. Hong Lo at Tel.: 2358-8742
Please reserve your seat with Ms Rebecca Yau at Tel.: 2358-7164
Recent experience in modeling risky choice behaviour: expected utility theory and alternatives
Professor John Polak
Professor of
Transport Demand and Director
Centre for Transport Studies, Imperial College
London, UK
5 September, 2006 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 5 September, 2006 (Tuesday)
Time : 6:00 - 7:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W703d, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
ABSTRACT
In recent years there has been a growing recognition that conventional models of travellers' decision making need to be extended to accommodate the fact that travellers are often uncertain regarding the outcome of their decisions. A number of alternatives approaches have been proposed in the literature. This presentation will provide an overview of recent theoretical and empirical research in this area, including both expected utility and non-expected utility approaches. We will present new empirical results, based on the study of departure time choice under uncertain travel times.
SPEAKER
Prof. John Polak is Professor of Transport Demand and Director of the Centre for Transport Studies at Imperial College London. He has published extensively on a number of aspects of travel behaviour and demand including the effects of experience and information on trip planning and spatial choice, the modelling of journey scheduling and peak spreading, household activity scheduling, the influence of network unreliability on travel behaviour and the dynamics of day-to-day adaptation. He is a past President of the International Association for Travel Behaviour Research and a past Council Member of the Association for European Transport and a member of the EPSRC Peer Review College.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Prof. William H.K. Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Connie Lam at Tel.: 2766-6070 or Fax :
2334-6389
A game-theoretic model of network flow and reliability
Professor Yupo Chan
Professor and
Founding Chair
Department of Systems Engineering, University of Arkansas at
Little Rock
Adjunct Professor
Department of Civil Engineering, Hong Kong University of Science and
Technology, Hong Kong
21 July, 2006 (Friday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
and
The University of Calgary Schulich School of Engineering Alumni Chapter (SSEAC) - Hong Kong Branch
Date : 21 July, 2006 (Friday)
Time : 6:00 - 7:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W703d, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
ABSTRACT
Today's transportation and communication network requires a design that is secure to tampering. Traditional performance measures of reliability and throughput must be supplemented with measures of security. Recognition of an adversary who can inflict damage leads toward a game-theoretic model-formulation. Through such a formulation, guidelines for network designs and improvements are derived. We opt for a design that is most robust. Extensive computational experience with such a model suggests that an equilibrium-design exists that can withstand the worst possible damage. Most important, the equilibrium is value-free in the sense that it is stable irrespective of the unit costs associated with reliability vs. capacity improvement and how one wishes to tradeoff between them. This finding helps to pinpoint the most critical component(s) in network design. From a policy standpoint, the model also allows the monetary value of transportation or information-security to be imputed.
SPEAKER
Yupo Chan received his SB, SM and PhD from MIT. After 28 years of post-doctoral experience in industry, universities and government, he became Professor and Founding Chair of the Systems Engineering Department at the University of Arkansas at Little Rock in 2000. Dr. Chan's training and research focus on transportation systems, telecommunications, networks and combinatorial optimization, multicriteria decision-making and spatial-temporal information.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Prof. William H.K. Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Connie Lam at Tel.: 2766-6070 or Fax :
2334-6389
A theory of network congestion estimation with travel time data on limited links
Dr. Agachai Sumalee
Senior Research
Fellow
Institute for Transport Studies, University of Leeds
21 July, 2006 (Friday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
and
The University of Calgary Schulich School of Engineering Alumni Chapter (SSEAC) - Hong Kong Branch
Date : 21 July, 2006 (Friday)
Time : 5:00 - 6:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W703d, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
ABSTRACT
One approach to reduce the cost for congestion monitoring in a city is to reduce the number of surveyed links. This study proposes a theoretical method for estimating congestion levels in an urban road network with travel time data from a subset of links in the network under the assumption of Wardrop's equilibrium. The paper gives a theoretical condition for valid estimated travel times for a given set of observed link travel times which may yield non-unique solutions. Then, under an assumption that all nodes are origins and destinations (OD) and all pairs of them form OD pairs we prove the strong upper bound of the estimated link travel times. For a general problem, we propose a way to formulate the travel time estimation problem as a mathematical program with equilibrium constraints (MPEC). Two variants of this problem are explained with objectives of minimize and maximize total travel time respectively. A solution for general networks is also discussed.SPEAKER
Dr. Sumalee is currently a Senior Research Fellow at the Institute for Transport Studies of the University of Leeds.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Prof. William H.K.
Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Connie Lam at Tel.: 2766-6070 or Fax :
2334-6389
Location, transport and land-Use: modelling spatial-temporal information
Professor Yupo Chan
Professor and
Founding Chair
Department of Systems Engineering, University of Arkansas at
Little Rock
18 July, 2006 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 18 July, 2006 (Tuesday)
Time : 4:00 - 5:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 3574 (Lift 27/28), Civil Engineering Conference Room, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clearwater Bay, Kowloon
ABSTRACT
This seminar serves to highlight a recent monograph bearing the same name. The seminar will identify the underlying principles that govern siting, community development, and product/service delivery. Included are procedures to perform: site location, land-use planning, location-routing, competitive allocation of products & services, and spatial forecasting. It suggests common solution techniques for emergency-response to natural and manmade hazards, environmental planning, infrastructure management, intelligent transportation systems, real-estate development, satellite remote-sensing, and supply-chain management.SPEAKER
Yupo Chan received his SB, SM and PhD from MIT. After 28 years of post-doctoral experience in industry, universities and government, he became Professor and Founding Chair of the Systems Engineering Department at the University of Arkansas at Little Rock in 2000. Dr. Chan's training and research focus on transportation systems, telecommunications, networks and combinatorial optimization, multicriteria decision-making and spatial-temporal information.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor Hong Lo at Tel.:
2358-8742
Please reserve your seat with Ms Rebecca Yau at Tel.: 2358-7164
Traffic Dynamics - Models and Data
Dr. Hillel Bar-Gera
Department of
Industrial Engineering and Management
Ben-Gurion University, Israel
29 June, 2006 (Thursday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 29 June, 2006 (Thursday)
Time : 4:00 - 5:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 3574 (Lift 27/28), Civil Engineering Conference Room, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clearwater Bay, Kowloon
ABSTRACT
The dynamic nature of traffic patterns has been in the focus of transportation research for several decades, in view of its essential role in real-life phenomena. The increase in availability of data during the last few years opens new opportunities to better understand these phenomena. Using data from a major freeway in Israel we show the typical daily-dynamic congestion patterns, and how they have evolved over a period of six years. Having the real behavior in mind, we will discuss one approach for modeling it, using an analytic macroscopic dynamic network loading model with continuous flows. At the single link level the model is based on the kinematic waves theory, reformulated as a variations problem, and solved on a dense discrete intra-link time-space mesh by a least-cost-path algorithm [Daganzo, 2005]. Our work extends the single link traffic flow model to road networks with explicit consideration of route flows and trajectories. Numerical results demonstrate the viability and consistency of the proposed approach.SPEAKER
Hillel Bar-Gera is a lecturer in the Department of Industrial Engineering and Management at Ben-Gurion University, Israel. He received his Ph.D. in 1999 from the University of Illinois at Chicago. His PhD thesis on "Origin-based algorithms for transportation network modeling" received the Transportation Science Section Award for best Ph.D. Dissertation in 2000. He earned M.Sc. in Mathematics and B.Sc. in Mathematics Physics and Computer Science from the Hebrew University in Jerusalem.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor Hai Yang
at Tel.: 2358-7178
Please reserve your seat with Ms Rebecca Yau at Tel.: 2358-7164
Some insights with regards to planning the reliability of a bus route
Professor S.C. (Chan) Wirasinghe
Dean, Schulich School of Engineering
Professor of
Civil Engineering, University of Calgary
28 April, 2006 (Friday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
and
The University of Calgary Schulich School of Engineering Alumni Chapter (SSEAC) - Hong Kong Branch
Date : 28 April, 2006 (Friday)
Time : 5:30 - 7:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W703d, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
ABSTRACT
The planning of a single bus route is discussed briefly. The reliability of a bus route is one of the key parameters with respect to the level of service that is provided to passengers and in terms of system operations. Typically, the "acceptable" reliability is chosen arbitrarily as 90% or some such number. We look at the costs associated with providing a reliable service from both a passenger and operator viewpoint and suggest that there is a certain reliability that optimizes the total cost. The above approach is illustrated by considering a simple 'one to one' bus route. Special cases related to a normal 'many to many' route are mentioned.SPEAKER
Professor S.C. (Chan) Wirasinghe is the Dean of Schulich SChool of Engineering and Professor of Civil Engineering at the University of Calgary, Canada.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William
H.K. Lam at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Connie Lam at Tel.: 2766-6070 or Fax:
2334-6389
The impacts of VMS: SP and RP surveys of traveller behaviour in the road network of Adelaide, Australia
Professor Michael A.P. Taylor
School of Natural and
Built Environments
Director, Transport Systems Centre University of South Australia
8 March, 2006 (Wednesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 8 March, 2006 (Wednesday)
Time : 6:00 - 7:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 612-B, 6/F, Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Variable Message Signs (VMS) are a basic ITS tool for providing traveller information and have much potential in indicating traffic and environmental conditions to travellers in a timely manner. This paper describes a research project on drivers' route choice behaviour in response to the content of VMS. An SP survey by questionnaire was conducted with residents along a target road corridor. The results of the SP survey were then tested by an RP study of the effects of a specific VMS located near a well known traffic bottleneck in Adelaide.This seminar will consider microsimulation modelling of traffic performance, greenhouse gas and air quality emissions, and comparisons with direct on-road observations from an instrumented vehicle. It will report on recent research on the likely impacts on traffic performance and emissions of ITS implementations for incident management and driver information. In new research the instrumented vehicle is being taken inside the simulation, to enable detailed investigations of driver behaviour under different traffic scenarios and events.
SPEAKER
Professor Michael A.P. Taylor holds the Chair in Transport Planning at the University of South Australia in Adelaide, where he is the Director of the university's Transport Systems Centre. His recent research activities are in modelling environmental impacts of road traffic (especially air pollution), assessment of the effectiveness of ITS implementations, modelling of traffic flows in dense networks, and transport network reliability.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. S.C. Wong at Tel.:
2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Betty Tsang at Tel.: 2859-2286
Developments in Electronic Vehicle Identification (EVI) with special reference to heavy goods vehicles
Professor Michael A.P. Taylor
School of Natural and
Built Environments
Director, Transport Systems Centre University of South Australia
7 March, 2006 (Wednesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 7 March, 2006 (Tuesday)
Time : 3:00 - 4:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 3574 (Lift 27/28), Civil Engineering Department Conference Room, Chia-Wei Woo Academic Concourse, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clearwater Bay, Kowloon
ABSTRACT
As part of its recent research program in Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS), the TSC has just completed a feasibility study on the introduction of a unique electronic identifier for all heavy vehicles in Australia, for compliance checking and enforcement purposes. The study reviewed international developments in the field and considered a number of EVI initiatives from around the world. The seminar will discuss the needs for better identification of individual heavy vehicles, the available technologies, and the likely consequences for freight transport and for traffic management and control on road networks.
SPEAKER
Professor Michael A.P. Taylor holds the Chair in Transport Planning at the University of South Australia in Adelaide, where he is the Director of the university's Transport Systems Centre. His recent research activities are in modelling environmental impacts of road traffic (especially air pollution), assessment of the effectiveness of ITS implementations, modelling of traffic flows in dense networks, and transport network reliability.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Prof. Hai Yang at Tel.:
2358-7178
Please reserve your seat with Ms Rebecca Yau at Tel.: 2358-7164
A modified path flow estimator that handles inconsistency in traffic counts
Dr. Anthony Chen
Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Utah State University, USA
7 June, 2005 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 7 June, 2005 (Tuesday)
Time : 6:30 - 7:30 p.m.
Venue : Room 612-B, 6/F, Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Path Flow Estimator (PFE) is a one-stage network observer proposed to estimate path flows, path travel times, origin-destination (O-D) flows, etc., from traffic counts in a transportation network. Although PFE does not require traffic counts to be collected on all network links when inferring unmeasured traffic conditions, it requires all available counts to be consistent. This requirement is difficult to fulfill in most of real applications due to the errors inherited in data collection and processing. The original PFE proposed by Bell and Shield (1995) handles this issue by specifying appropriate error bounds on the traffic counts. This method enhances the flexibility of PFE by allowing the user to incorporate local knowledge about the network conditions into the estimation process. However, specifying appropriate error bounds for all measured links in a real network application is laborious. In addition, improper specification of the error bounds could lead to biased estimates of the O-D demand. This seminar therefore presents a modified PFE capable of internally handling the inconsistency problem within the estimation process. The proposed modified PFE model is illustrated with some test networks.SPEAKER
Dr. Anthony Chen is currently an Associate Professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at the Utah State University (USU). He is also the division head of the Transportation Program at USU. Dr. Chen received his BS, MS, and PhD degrees in Civil Engineering from the University of California at Irvine in 1992, 1994, and 1997, respectively. Before joining USU, he was a postdoctoral fellow at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology and the University of California, Irvine. Dr. Chen's research interests include transportation systems modeling, modeling of route choice behavior under uncertainty, origin-destination trip table estimation, route guidance and traveler information systems, network equilibrium modeling and algorithm development, meta-heuristics for discrete network location and network design problems, and transportation network reliability and applications to infrastructure management and disaster management. He is a member of the Transportation Network Modeling Committee of the Transportation Research Board (TRB), and serves as the TRB representative for USU. Dr. Chen is a recipient of the 2002 National Science Foundation (NSF) Faculty Early Career Development (CAREER) Award.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. S.C. Wong at Tel.:
2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Betty Tsang at Tel.: 2859-2286
Risk-averse in-vehicle navigation
Professor Michael G.H. Bell
Imperial College London, United Kingdom
8 November 2004 (Monday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 8 November 2004 (Monday)
Time : 5:00 p.m. to 6:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W703, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
ABSTRACT
In research sponsored by the BMW car company, the problem of risk-averse route guidance is being studied. Two system architectures are being considered, namely autonomous route guidance, where little or no dynamic traffic information is available to the vehicle, and supported route guidance, which has a more centralized architecture and two-way data exchange between the guided vehicle and a traffic information centre. Attention is given to computational, memory and bandwidth requirements. For autonomous route guidance, a constrained A* algorithm is proposed. When limited dynamic information is available, a dynamic version of the A* algorithm is suggested, which makes use of information computed at the start of the trip to reduce on-demand response time. For supported route guidance, partially disjoint candidate path sets are precomputed centrally. Guidance is downloaded to the vehicle as the trip unfolds. Multiple paths are used to spread the risk, avoid single path overload and approach a system optimum assignment. Test results relating to randomly generated grid networks will be presented and the relative merits of the two architectures will be discussed.SPEAKER
Michael Bell is Professor of Transport Operations at Imperial College London. He was appointed to his current post in January 2002, having previously been the Professor of Transport Operations at the University of Newcastle. Michael’s research interests span transport network reliability, traffic monitoring and control, and transport network analysis. The work reported in this talk has been carried out largely by Professor Yanyan Chen from the Transport Research Centre at Beijing University of Technology, under the supervision of Michael Bell.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Prof. William H.K. Lam at
Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Freda at Tel.: 2766-6051 or Fax : 2334-6389
The PECAS framework for spatial activity modelling
Professor John Douglas Hunt
University of Calgary, Canada
7 June 2004 (Monday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 7 June 2004 (Monday)
Time : 5:00 p.m. to 6:30 p.m.
Venue : Room W703, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
ABSTRACT
PECAS is a recently-developed, generalized approach for simulating spatial economic systems. It is designed to provide a simulation of the land use component of land use transport interactive modelling systems. PECAS stands for Production, Exchange and Consumption Allocation System. It uses an aggregate, equilibrium structure with separate flows of exchanges (including goods, services, labour and space) going from production to consumption based on variable technical coefficients and market clearing with exchange prices. Flows of exchanges from production to exchange zones and from exchange zones to consumption are allocated using nested logit models according to exchange prices and transport (dis)utilities. These flows are converted to transport demands that are loaded to networks in order to determine congested travel disutilities. Exchange prices determined for space inform the calculation of changes in space thereby simulating developer actions. The system is run for each year being simulated, with the travel disutilities and changes in space for one year influencing the flows of exchanges in the next year. PECAS or its components are currently being applied in the development of state-wide transportation land use modelling systems for Ohio and Oregon, in the development of an urban land use model for Sacramento and in the anticipated development of urban land use models of Calgary and Edmonton in Canada.SPEAKER
John Douglas Hunt received a BSc degree in Engineering from the University of Alberta, and a PhD in Architecture and Urban Studies from Cambridge University. He is Professor of Transportation Engineering and Planning in the Department of Civil Engineering at the University of Calgary, where he has worked for just over 12 years now. He has over 20 years experience in transportation modelling and land use transport interaction modelling, in both academic and practical environments. He enjoys an international reputation for his work, and has contributed to the development of models around the world, including London and Southeast England, Dortmund, Naples, Sweden, Central Chile, Oregon, San Francisco, Phoenix, Sacramento, Los Angeles, and Ohio - just to name a few. His research interests concern the mathematical modelling of human behaviour, particularly those aspects that include spatial considerations, and the development of modelling systems for transport, land use and economic policy analysis. His consulting activities concern the application of advanced and novel techniques for such modelling in practice.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Prof. William H.K. Lam at
Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Freda at Tel.: 2766-6051 or Fax : 2334-6389
Travel time reliability measures for transit itinerary planning
Dr. Mark Hickman
University of Arizona, USA
18 March 2004 (Thursday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
Advanced Study Institute Sponsored by the Croucher Foundation
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 18 March 2004 (Thursday)
Time : 2:30 p.m. to 5:30 p.m.
Venue : Room W 703, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
ABSTRACT
In this presentation we consider the problem of planning an itinerary for a transit passenger, in which the passenger wishes to travel from a given origin to a given destination, at a specific time, using public transit. If there are a number of origin-to-destination (O-D) paths available, the passenger may consider the reliability of the service as one factor in determining the preferred path. For this problem, we define service reliability in terms of the variability of the O-D travel time. We present a method to generate useful measures of travel time variability for the passenger, using historical vehicle location data. As part of this process, we present a shortest path algorithm that incorporates travel time variability directly into the generation of possible O-D paths. Several examples using data from the public transit company in Tucson, Arizona, are used to show the value of the technique in determining O-D paths.SPEAKER
Dr. Mark Hickman received his B.S., M.S., and Ph.D. degrees from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). He is currently an assistant professor in civil engineering, specializing in transportation engineering, at the University of Arizona. At the University of Arizona, Dr. Hickman has taught courses and performed research in public transit planning and operations, transportation planning, traffic engineering and traffic modeling. Dr. Hickmans areas of research interest and expertise include public transit planning and operations, the application of new information technologies in transportation, and transportation systems analysis and quantitative modeling. In these areas, Dr. Hickman has been involved numerous research activities at the University of Arizona, and in previous positions at Texas A&M University and with the PATH Program at the University of California, Berkeley.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Prof. William H.K. Lam at
Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Freda at Tel.: 2766-6051 or Fax : 2334-6389
Dispatched taxis: Does the Hong Kong taxi model apply?
Professor Michael G.H. Bell
Professor of Transport Operations, Imperial College London, United Kingdom
17 January 2004 (Saturday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 17 January 2004 (Saturday)
Time : 11:00 a.m. to 12:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 3584 (Lift 27/28), Chia-Wei Woo Academic Concourse, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clearwater Bay, Kowloon
ABSTRACT
The taxi model developed by S C Wong, Hai Yang and K I Wong makes use of a gravity model to describe the distribution of empty taxis from their drop off points to their next pick up points. The conjecture is that the search process for the next customer leads over time to a gravity-type distribution of empty taxis. However, in smaller cities and in most cities in the UK, taxis are generally requested by telephone and dispatched by a controller rather than search for customers. It seems reasonable to conjecture that a dispatching process would also over time lead to a gravity-type distribution of empty taxis. To test this, a simple simulation model is constructed. Taxi requests are generated randomly according to an underlying trip matrix and the taxi that can reach the requester first is dispatched. This is a two-sided queuing process with either customers queuing for taxis or taxis are queuing for customers, with both taxis and customers distributed across space. Initial simulation results suggest that the gravity model provides a rather good description of the distribution of empty taxis when these are dispatched as described. Moreover, the simulation model generates distributions for customer waiting time and taxi idle time. The impact of the number of taxis on customer waiting time and taxi idle time is examined, and it is shown that as the taxi-hours demanded approaches the taxi-hours supplied the average customer waiting time tends to infinity and the average taxi idle time tends to zero.SPEAKER
Michael Bell is Professor of Transport Operations in the Department of Civil Engineering at Imperial College London. He was formerly Professor of Transport Operations and Director of the Transport Operations Research Group in the Department of Civil Engineering at the University of Newcastle. He is Editor of the Research Studies Press series on traffic engineering and an Associate Editor of Transportation Research B.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. Hai Yang at Tel.:
2358-7178
Please reserve your seat with Ms Rebecca Yau at Tel.: 2358-7164
Path finding under uncertainty
Dr. Anthony Chen
Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Utah State University, USA
23 December, 2003 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
Institute of Transport Studies, The University of Hong Kong
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 23 December, 2003 (Tuesday)
Time : 6:00 - 7:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 612-B, 6/F, Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Most existing path finding methods in transportation deal with the uncertainty issues via stochastic programming using the expected value models (EVM). However, there are many situations that travelers are not always concerning with minimizing their expected costs. Travelers may be interested in finding a reliable path to ensure on-time arrival. In this seminar, two reliable path-finding methods are proposed. The first model is formulated as a chance constrained model (CCM) to find the a-reliable path, and the second model is formulated as a dependent chance model (DCM) to find the most reliable path. In the CCM, for a given confidence level a, it finds the least minimum travel time budget path such that the probability of path travel time less than the budget is at least (100a%) confidence. On the other hand, for a given travel time budget, DCM finds the most reliable path that satisfies the travel time budget with the highest probability. A simulation-based genetic algorithm procedure is developed to solve these new path-finding models. Numerical results will be presented to demonstrate the features of these new path-finding models.SPEAKER
Dr. Anthony Chen is currently an Assistant Professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at the Utah State University (USU). He is also the division head of the Transportation Program at USU. Dr. Chen received his BS, MS, and PhD degrees in Civil Engineering from the University of California at Irvine in 1992, 1994, and 1997, respectively. Before joining USU, he was a postdoctoral fellow at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology and the University of California, Irvine. Dr. Chens research interests include transportation systems modeling, modeling of route choice behavior under uncertainty, origin-destination trip table estimation, route guidance and traveler information systems, network equilibrium modeling and algorithm development, meta-heuristics for discrete network location and network design problems, and transportation network reliability and applications to infrastructure management and disaster management. He is a member of the Transportation Network Modeling Committee of the Transportation Research Board (TRB), and serves as the TRB representative for USU. Dr. Chen is a recipient of the 2002 National Science Foundation (NSF) Faculty Early Career Development (CAREER) Award.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. S.C. Wong at Tel.:
2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Betty Tsang at Tel.: 2859-2286
E-business and transportation: quantifying impacts at the overall system and railway industry levels
Professor Luis Ferreira
Queensland University of Technology, Australia
9 December, 2003 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Electrical Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
Railway Engineering Specialised Group, IEE HK
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 9 December, 2003 (Tuesday)
Time : 6:30 - 7:30 p.m. (Refreshment: 6:15pm)
Venue : Room FJ302, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
ABSTRACT
E-business is defined here as encompassing both e-commerce and the application of information technology to link internal and external business operations - Business to Business (B2B). The findings reported here are the results of a recent Australia-wide study undertaken for a Federal Government Transport Agency. The study was intended to assist Australian business and government to pro-actively address the transport issues arising from e-business. The main aims were to undertake an analysis of the main transport impacts of e-business and to quantify those impacts on the different stakeholders at the national and regional levels. The Seminar will highlight the study methodology used to derive changes in demand from e-business take-up. The main study findings, in terms of likely changes in freight and passenger demand will be presented.SPEAKER
Luis holds the Chair in Transport sponsored by the Transport Portfolio Agencies in Queensland and based at the Queensland University of Technology in Brisbane, Australia. He received a PhD in traffic modelling from the University of Leeds and has worked for 25 years in academic, technical and managerial roles covering passenger and freight transport planning, research, management and consultancy. His current research interests include transport system performance measurement, transport evaluation methodologies and freight transport planning. He is a Research Theme Leader with the Australian Co-operative Research Centre for Railway Engineering and Technologies. Luis is a Fellow of the Australian Institution of Engineers and a Fellow of the Chartered Institute of Transport & Logistics in Australia. He has an extensive and distinguished transport related publications record in international journals and conferences.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. Mark Ho at Tel.:
2766-6146 or email: eetkho@polyu.edu.hk
Application of a dynamic traffic assignment model and algorithm
Professor Michael Florian
Department of Computer Science and Operations Research, University of Montreal, Canada
8 December, 2003 (Monday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
and
Institute of Transport Studies, The University of Hong Kong
Date : 8 December, 2003 (Monday)
Time : 6:00 - 7:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 612-B, 6/F, Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
A new dynamic traffic assignment algorithm, which is based on concepts from mathematical programming and simulation, is applied to a medium size network and to a large size network. The methodological foundations of the model as well as details of the calibration of the model for the applications mentioned above are given. This is joint work carried out with Michael Mahut and Nicolas Tremblay.SPEAKER
Michael Florian is Professor in the Department of Computer Science and Operations Research of the University of Montreal and is associated with the Center for Research on Transportation of the University of Montreal. He is President of INRO, a company specializing in transportation planning software. He has published more than 120 articles in scientific journals and received several awards including the Robert Herman Lifetime Achievement Award from the Transportation Science Section of INFORMS. He is a Member of the Royal Society of Canada.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. S.C. Wong at Tel.:
2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Betty Tsang at Tel.: 2859-2286
Congestion pricing on an urban road network: A study using the dynamic traffic simulator METROPOLIS
Professor Robin Lindsey
Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada
8 December, 2003 (Monday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
School of Economics and Finance, The University of Hong Kong
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 8 December, 2003 (Monday)
Time : 5:00 - 6:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 612-B, 6/F, Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
This paper studies road congestion pricing using the dynamic network equilibrium simulator METROPOLIS which treats endogenously mode, route and departure time choices at the level of individual travelers. Simulations are conducted for a hypothetical circular city with a road network that consists of radial arterial routes and ring roads at varying distances from the city centre. Trip origins and destinations are distributed throughout the city. A range of tolling schemes are considered: single and double cordons, area charging systems, ring road tolls, destination/parking pricing, and several comprehensive schemes. Tolling schemes that encompass a large fraction of the road network are found to yield higher total benefits than do schemes with a more limited coverage, but to offer lower benefits per dollar of revenue collected. Crude schemes that impose uniform charges on trips, links, or distance traveled do not perform very well in terms of either efficiency or equity. Time-varying tolls outperform flat tolls in terms of efficiency gains, while generating smaller toll revenue transfers. Consequently, time-varying tolls have more favorable distributional impacts on travelers.SPEAKER
Robin Lindsey received B.A. and M.A. degrees from Queen's University, and a Ph.D. in economics from Princeton. Since 1982 he has worked at the University of Alberta where he is a professor of economics. His doctoral thesis concerned energy security, and his early research interests included resource economics and industrial organization in which he published studies on retail competition, price discrimination and predatory pricing. Lindseys academic specialty is now transportation economics. His work has spanned such topics as traffic congestion modeling, advanced traveler information systems, private toll roads, public transportation timetabling, and competition in public transport service markets. Lindsey is currently involved with research on road pricing, usage of transport pricing revenues and reform of transport institutions. Lindsey has had visiting appointments at University of British Columbia, University of California at Irvine, Free University of Amsterdam and Université de Cergy-Pontoise in Paris. He is currently on sabbatical.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. S.C. Wong at Tel.:
2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Betty Tsang at Tel.: 2859-2286
Traffic congestion pricing with heterogeneous travelers: A general-equilibrium welfare analysis
Professor Robin Lindsey
Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada
29 November, 2003 (Saturday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 29 November, 2003 (Saturday)
Time : 3:00 - 4:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W601, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
ABSTRACT
Traffic congestion pricing is studied using a general-equilibrium framework that incorporates public goods expenditures, an income tax, a government budget constraint, and preferences for equity. Individuals differ with respect to wages, values of travel time, and the congestion characteristics of their vehicles. Formulae for optimal tolls are derived and decomposed to reveal the separate influences of individual and vehicle heterogeneity, road network effects, fiscal effects and equity concerns. Using an example various tolling regimes are considered, defined by how much of the network is tolled, by whether and how tolls are differentiated by route, and by vehicle and individual characteristics. One policy conclusion of interest is that congestion pricing may be progressive in its welfare impact. This result derives in large part from the assumption that there is a single level of government that maximizes a well-defined social welfare function, and integrates seamlessly transport pricing with general fiscal policy.SPEAKER
Robin Lindsey received B.A. and M.A. degrees from Queen's University, and a Ph.D. in economics from Princeton. Since 1982 he has worked at the University of Alberta where he is a professor of economics. His doctoral thesis concerned energy security, and his early research interests included resource economics and industrial organization in which he published studies on retail competition, price discrimination and predatory pricing. Lindseys academic specialty is now transportation economics. His work has spanned such topics as traffic congestion modeling, advanced traveler information systems, private toll roads, public transportation timetabling, and competition in public transport service markets. Lindsey is currently involved with research on road pricing, usage of transport pricing revenues and reform of transport institutions. Lindsey has had visiting appointments at University of British Columbia, University of California at Irvine, Free University of Amsterdam and Université de Cergy-Pontoise in Paris. He is currently on sabbatical.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William H.K. Lam
at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Freda at Tel.: 2766-6051
Probit-based stochastic traffic assignment and extensions
Professor Mike Maher
Professor of Transportation, School of the Built Environment, Napier University, Edinburgh, Scotland
23 September, 2003 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 23 September, 2003 (Tuesday)
Time : 5:00 - 6:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W703, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
ABSTRACT
The talk will give an overview of the work of the presenter and his colleagues over the last 15 years on numerical methods for probit-based stochastic assignment. It will firstly outline the differences between logit and probit methods, and then demonstrate the basic operation of link-based and path-based application of probit loading. It will then go on to look at Stochastic User Equilibrium (SUE) assignment, including the estimation of an optimal step length and the use of alternative search directions, before considering to multiple user classes and elastic demand, showing in particular how the elastic demand SUE problem is no more difficult to solve that the fixed demand problem. Finally, some current work on the development of a probit-based departure time choice model and its use in dynamic assignment, will be described.SPEAKER
Mike Maher is Professor of Transportation and Director of Research in the School of the Built Environment at Napier University in Edinburgh. He previously held posts in the Institute for Transport Studies at Leeds University, in the Department of Probability & Statistics at Sheffield University, and at the Transport Research Laboratory. His research is generally in the application of mathematical and statistical models to transport problems, especially network models (stochastic assignment and matrix estimation) and the statistical analysis of road accident data (predictive accident models and the estimation of the effectiveness of remedial treatments).
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William H.K. Lam
at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Freda at Tel.: 2766-6051
Sensors to monitor traffic: some new technologies and location models
Professor Pitu Mirchandani
Professor, Systems and Industrial Engineering Department, The University of Arizona, USA
23 September, 2003 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 23 September, 2003 (Tuesday)
Time : 6:00 - 7:00 p.m.
Venue : Room W703, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
ABSTRACT
Some ITS technologies for monitoring traffic (volumes, densities, speeds, routes, etc.) on networks will be reviewed. Some new sensors, passive and active (with transponders from vehicle), including those that are based on images of traffic will be introduced. Such sensor can be fixed or mobile. Their potential for enhancing traffic management and traveler information systems will be discussed. Some new models to locate such sensors, either on arcs or nodes of a network will be developed. The talk will focus on models and algorithms for the following type of problems: (1) ''How many and where should sensors be located to obtain sufficient information on flow volumes on routes?'' and (2) ''Given that the traffic operators have already located conventional flow detectors on some network arcs (e.g., induction loop counters), how many and where should additional sensors be located to get the maximum information on flow volumes on routes?'' Some polynomial solvable instances will be provided. For the mobile sensors case, some logistical problems associated with the design of sensor networks will also be discussedSPEAKER
Dr. Pitu B. Mirchandani is a Professor of Systems & Industrial Engineering and Electrical & Computer Engineering at the University of Arizona. He is the Director of the ATLAS Research Center and is the Salt River Project Professor of Technology, Public Policy and Markets. Dr. Mirchandani has several areas of technical expertise and interests, including theories, models and algorithms in operations research and systems engineering, and their application to transportation, logistics and real-time information and control systems. In particular, his research in the areas of stochastic dynamic networks, location theory, decision making under uncertainty and competition, and intelligent transportation systems has received wide attention.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Professor William H.K. Lam
at Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Freda at Tel.: 2766-6051
Choice set generation for route choice in a transport network
Professor Yasuo Asakura
Department of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Kobe University, Japan
27 March, 2003 (Thursday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
Institute of Transport Studies, The University of Hong Kong
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 27 March, 2003 (Thursday)
Time : 6:30 - 7:30 p.m.
Venue : Room 612-B, 6/F, Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Choice set generation problems have not yet been satisfactorily discussed in travel behavioural modeling. In particular, a huge number of possible routes exist between an origin and destination pair in a network, and it becomes interesting to generate a set of alternative routes for travel route choice models. A two-phase sequential structured model will be presented. The first stage is to generate a candidate set of possible routes in a network using the k-shortest path or the gateway shortest path. The second stage is to bundle similar routes into some groups. The model will be examined using actual route choice data in Osaka.SPEAKER
Professor Asakura is currently a professor at the Department of Architecture and Civil Engineering and the Graduate School of Science and Technology of Kobe University. He obtained his bachelor and doctoral degrees from Kyoto University in 1981 and 1988, respectively. He joined Ehime University as a lecturer in 1988, and was promoted to associate professor and then professor, before moving to Kobe University in 2002. Professor Asakura research interests are transport network analysis with a focus on network reliability and route choice modelling, and travel behavioural research with a focus on the behavioural monitoring using mobile communication instruments.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. S.C. Wong at Tel.:
2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Betty Tsang at Tel.: 2859-2286
Short-term forecasting of traffic conditions: methods, limitations and predictability of traffic
Dr. Wei Hua Lin
Department of Systems and Industrial Engineering The University of Arizona
17 March, 2003 (Monday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
and
Institute of Transport Studies, The University of Hong Kong
Date : 17 March, 2003 (Monday)
Time : 6:00 - 7:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 612-B, 6/F, Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
This presentation has two parts. The first part presents a simple model for short-term forecasting of traffic conditions. The method explicitly makes use of both historical and real-time traffic information in an integrated way. The two key variables used in the model are flow (occupancies) and flow (occupancy) increments. The model departs from many existing traffic forecasting models in that it does not require extensive data calibration. The calibration effort is minimal, involving only the estimation of the mean and variance of these two variables from the historical data. The model is also robust. Computationally, the model is efficient and simple to implement. Satisfactory results are obtained for three measures of performance, the mean relative error, the mean absolute error, and the mean square error.SPEAKER
Dr. Lin is currently an assistant professor in the Department of Systems and Industrial Engineering at the University of Arizona. He got his PhD degree in transportation engineering from UC Berkeley in 1995. From August 1995 through August 1997, Dr. Lin was a Post Doc researcher with the PATH program at UC Berkeley. Before moving to Arizona last year, Dr. Lin was teaching in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Virginia Tech. Dr. Lin's current research focus is primarily on traffic analysis and logistics. He has been working on projects related to 1) developing operational procedures for enhancing traffic management and information systems funded by FHWA; 2) developing pricing schemes for railroad empty car movements funded by National Science Foundation. He has also been collaborating with PATH researchers to study traffic dynamics with microscopic traffic data.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. S.C. Wong at Tel.:
2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Betty Tsang at Tel.: 2859-2286
Cost-based versus time-based user-equilibrium and system optimum assignment: transferred by tolling
Professor Hai-Jun Huang
Professor, School of Management, Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics
19 February, 2003 (Wednesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
and
Institute of Transport Studies, The University of Hong Kong
Date : 19 February, 2003 (Wednesday)
Time : 6:00 - 7:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 612-B, 6/F, Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
It is well known that in the standard traffic equilibrium model with a single value of time (VOT) for all users, a so-called marginal-cost toll can drive a user equilibrium flow pattern to a system optimum. This result holds when either cost (money) or time units are used in expressing the objective function of the model and the criterion for user equilibrium. In this presentation, we examine the multi-criteria or the cost-versus-time network equilibrium and system optimum assignment problem in a network with a discrete set of VOTs for several user classes. Specifically, the following questions will be investigated: Are the user-equilibrium flows dependent upon the unit (time or money) used in measuring the travel disutility in the presence of road pricing? Are there any uniform link tolls across all individuals (link tolls that are identical for all user classes) that can support a multi-class user equilibrium flow pattern as a system optimum when the system objective function is measured by either money or time units? What are the general properties of the valid toll set? We will find that, once moving to the multi-class bi-criterion traffic equilibrium models, answers to these questions are not obvious and their pursuit makes for very interesting theoretical investigations.SPEAKER
Professor Huang received his Ph.D in
Management Science from Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics (BUAA) in 1992.
He has shortly served on the faculty of Hong Kong Polytechnic University and Hong Kong
University of Science and Technology. In 1996, he worked at the Transport Operations
Research Group of Newcastle University (UK) as a one-year visiting scholar. His research
interests include modeling and analysis of transportation systems, production and
operations management, and transportation economics. As principle investigator, he has
finished three research projects supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of
China and in 1998 he became the winner of a grant awarded to the national distinguished
young scientists in China. His research (about 30 papers) has appeared in several
international journals as Transportation Research (Part A, Part B, Par C, Part E), Journal
of Advanced Transportation, Journal of the Operational Research Society, European Journal
of Operational Research, Annals of Regional Science, Optimal Control Applications and
Methods, Transportation, and Spatial & Network Theory. In addition, he has published
more than 30 papers in local refereed journals in Chinese and some research reports for
consult projects. He is on the editorial boards of two international journals, Journal of
Advanced Transportation and Journal of Systems Science and Complexity, and one local
journal Transportation Systems Engineering and Information. He is the associate
editor-in-chief of the Journal of Management Sciences in China and the Global Management
Review. He is now a member of the Executive Standing Committee of the Systems Engineering
Society of China.
Professor Huang had served in the School of Management (BUAA) as the associate dean from
1992 to 1997, and is now concurrently working in the National Natural Science Foundation
of China as the deputy director general of the Department of Management Sciences (starting
from October 2000).
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. S.C. Wong at Tel.:
2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Betty Tsang at Tel.: 2859-2286
Designs and implementations of automated system for pavement distress survey
Professor Kelvin C. P. Wang
Professor of Civil Engineering, University of Arkansas, USA
15 November 2002 (Friday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
Institute of Transport Studies, The University of Hong Kong
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 15 November 2002 (Friday)
Time : 5:30 - 6:30 p.m.
Venue : Room 612-B, 6/F, Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
There were the trillions of US dollars of public money invested in pavements worldwide. Sound management of the pavement assets is important to continuingly provide the public safe and comfort transportation. Pavement condition survey for surface defects is a critical data collection and analysis process in evaluating pavements of highways, streets, and airports. In recent years, the research team led by Prof Kelvin Wang successfully solved the problem of automatically identifying and classifying pavement cracks. The Economist weekly news magazine and the Associated Press reported on this technological advance in 2001 and 2002 respectively. This presentation will discuss historical efforts on the automation of pavement condition survey, describe new technologies of automated survey of pavement surface distress, its development, and information system as applied to infrastructure management, and future directions.SPEAKER
Prof Wang completed his BS and MS degrees from China's Jiaotong Universities in 1983 and 1986 respectively and from Arizona State University in 1992 with PhD in civil engineering. He has worked as an engineer for the Arizona Department of Transportation for 4years before joining the faculty of the University of Arkansas in 1993. He was promoted to the rank of professor of civil engineering at the University of Arkansas in 2002. Prof Wang's research interests include automated infrastructure condition survey, vision systems, and intelligent computing. He is also chairman of the ASCE committee of Advanced Technologies. Prof Wang published widely in ASCE journals and Transportation Research Records. He is also editors of several international conferences organized by ASCE. His most significant contribution in research includes leading the team at the University of Arkansas in the development of a real-time automated survey system for pavement cracks.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. S.C. Wong at Tel.:
2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Betty Tsang at Tel.: 2859-2286
Development frame of ITS in China
Professor Wei Huang
Director of Construction Department, Jiangsu Province and Professor of Southeast University, China
31 October 2002 (Thursday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
Institute of Transport Studies, The University of Hong Kong
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 31 October 2002 (Thursday)
Time : 6:30 - 7:30 p.m.
Venue : Room 902, 9/F, Knowles Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong
Language : Putonghua
ABSTRACT
Main Content of SeminarSPEAKER
Mr Huang is a famous specialist in
highway and bridge field. He has being taken on the research work of design theory, design
method and construction management of freeway and long-span steel bridge paving. He has
presided and participated in many key projects like Huning Expressway,
Nanjing Airport Expressway, Nanjing Second Yangzi River Bridge and
Runyang Yangzi River Highway Bridge and solved many complex technical
problems. In China, Mr Huang is one of the initials of ITS. By now he has won over 30
national and provincial awards and published more than 100 important papers and 8 academic
books. In those books, Introduction of ITS is the first academic book in this
field and plays an important role in promoting the development of ITS in China. In
Design theory and method of advanced asphalt pavement and Design theory
and method of advanced cement concrete pavement, published by Science Press, Mr
Huang has summarized his recent main research achievements, which has been highly
evaluated by experts. His research achievements have been successfully used in the
construction of Nanjing Second Yangzi River Bridge, which is a great breakthrough in the
theory and technique of long-span bridge paving. The level of this research is leading the
world, which has been awarded the first-prize of China Universities Science and
Technology Development. At present, Mr Huang is embarking on the research and design
of bridge paving of Runyang Yangzi River Highway Bridge (the largest
component-beam bridge in China, from Zhenjiang to Yangzhou) and Sutong Yangzi River
Highway Bridge(from Suzhou to Nantong).
Mr Huang has gained Special Allowance of State Council since 1995. In 1996, he
was given the honor of Jiangsu Ten Distinguished Young People, First and
Second Tier of Thousands of Scholars and Excellent Researchers of
Century of Education Department. In 1997, he was awarded National outstanding
Young Experts. In 1999, he was honored as professor of Yangzi Scholar
Plan.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. S.C. Wong at Tel.:
2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Betty Tsang at Tel.: 2859-2286
A new look at two mathematical models of traffic flow
Dr. H.M. Zhang
Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California at Davis
6 September 2002 (Friday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
Institute of Transport Studies, The University of Hong Kong
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 6 September 2002 (Friday)
Time : 5:00 - 6:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 612-B, 6/F, Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
Continuum traffic flow models attempt to describe, through a set of partial differential equations, the temporal and spatial evolution of certain quantities of interest, such as flow rate, concentration and travel speed. Among many models suggested over the years two are most widely studied and applied: the kinematic wave model of Lighthill, Whitham, and Richards (LWR model) and the higher-order model of Payne and Whitham (the PW model). While the properties and deficiencies of the LWR model is well known, those of the PW model are less understood and contradicting claims are sometimes made about the PW model. In this talk I attempt to give a clear picture of what we know about these two models, including their behavioral foundations, solution properties and limitations. Based on this knowledge, I shall suggest a new higher-order model that retains the desirable features and removes certain key limitations of both models.SPEAKER
Dr. Michael Zhang is an Associate Professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at the University of California Davis. He is also a faculty member in the Graduate Programs of Applied Mathematics and Transportation Technology and Policy at UC Davis. Dr. Zhang received his BS degree in Civil Engineering from Tongji University in 1984, and his MS and PhD degrees in Engineering in 1992, 1995, respectively, from University of California Irvine. Prior to his UC Davis appointment, he has taught at the University of Iowa. Dr. Zhang's current research focuses on applications of systems theory to transportation systems analysis and operations. Specific topics include traffic flow theory, ramp and signal control, and transportation network models. Dr. Zhang is a member of the Traffic Flow Theory and Characteristics Committee of the Transportation Research Board, serves as an Area Editor of the Journal of Networks and Spatial Economics and has recently been appointed as an Associate Editor of Transportation Research, Part B. Dr. Zhang received a CAREER award from the National Science Foundation in 2000.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. S.C. Wong at Tel.:
2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Betty Tsang at Tel.: 2859-2286
Risk-averse routing strategies in networks subject to low probability high consequence failures
Professor Michael Bell
Imperial College of Science, Technology and Medicine London, United Kingdom
11 July 2002 (Thursday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
Institute of Transport Studies, The University of Hong Kong
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 11 July 2002 (Thursday)
Time : 5:30 - 6:30 p.m.
Venue : Room 612-B, 6/F, Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
In safety-critical systems, decisions frequently have to be taken when the probabilities of component failures are small but unknown. As potential losses are often high, decision-makers are risk-averse. Systems which may be represented as networks with links whose probabilities of failure are small but unknown are analysed. The existence of one or more critical cut sets is proven. The risk-averse distribution of traffic across the links of a critical cut set is shown to be inversely proportional to the potential losses. A game theory analogy leads to useful insights and solution methods for large networks. Two transport-related hypothetical case studies, one from the field of hazardous materials and the other from bio-security, illustrate the widespread applicability of the results.SPEAKER
Michael Bell is Professor of Transport Operations at Imperial College of Science, Technology and Medicine in London. Having graduated in 1975 from Cambridge University with a BA in Economics he obtained an MSc in Transport Planning in 1976 and a PhD in 1981, both from Leeds University. Between 1979 and 1982 he worked as a Research Associate at the then Transport Studies Group of University College London, before moving to the Institut fur Verkehrswesen at the Technical University of Karlsruhe as an Alexander von Humboldt post-doctoral Research Fellow. He returned to the UK in 1984 to a New Blood lectureship at the University of Newcastle. In 1992 he became the Deputy Director of the Transport Operations Research Group (TORG), becoming its Director in 1996. He was promoted to a Personal Readership in 1994 and to a Personal Chair in 1996. In 2002, he relocated to Imperial College London. His research and teaching interests have spanned transport network reliability, travel forecasting methods, traffic engineering and control, transport telematics, and logistics. He is the author of numerous papers related to the monitoring and control of traffic, the measurement of transport reliability as well as a book co-authored with Professor Yasunori Iida entitled Transportation Network Analysis (Wiley, 1997). He has been closely associated with European research and development, as a participant in projects, as an administrator (on 6-month secondment to Brussels), and as an evaluator. He is a member of the International Advisory Committee of the International Symposia on Transportation and Traffic Theory (ISTTT), Editor of the Research Studies Press series on traffic engineering, and an Associate Editor of Transportation Research B. He serves in the EPSRC Built Environment College. In early 2000 he was the Kan Tong Po / Royal Society Visiting Professor at the Hong Kong Polytechnic University and this year was a Visiting Professor at Bodenkultur in Vienna.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. S.C. Wong at Tel.:
2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Ms. Betty Tsang at Tel.: 2859-2286
Comparisons of user-optimal and system-optimal solutions to the traffic assignment problem
Professor David Boyce
Professor of Transportation and Regional Science, Department of Civil and Materials Engineering, University of Illinois at Chicago
14 December 2001 (Friday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 14 December 2001 (Friday)
Time : 3:00 - 4:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 3584 (Lift 27/28), Chia-Wei Woo Academic Concourse, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clearwater Bay, Kowloon
ABSTRACT
Recently, we have solved traffic assignment problems to great accuracy with the Origin-based Algorithm. I have some illustrations of the solutions to the UO and SO problems which I would like to show, and get your reactions. The findings are quite unexpected in terms of the number of routes in the solutions.This seminar will also include a general discussion of future research related to traffic assignment and combined models, including research needs and practitioner training and motivation needed to bring advances in combined models and traffic assignment into widespread use.
SPEAKER
Professor David Boyce is Professor of Transportation and Regional Science in the Department of Civil and Materials Engineering at the University of Illinois at Chicago. Before joining the University of Illinois at Chicago, Professor Boyce served as a faculty member at the University of Pennsylvania (1966-77) and the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign (1977-88). From 1988-1996, he served as Director of the Urban Transportation Center at the last university. Professor Boyce received the B.S. in civil engineering from Northwestern University in 1961, and the Ph.D. in regional science from the University of Pennsylvania in 1965. He also received the Master of City Planning degree from Penn. He is a Registered Professional Engineer in the State of Ohio. During 35 years of research and teaching, Professor Boyce has addressed many key methodological issues related to metropolitan transportation and land use planning. His early monograph, Metropolitan Plan Making, critically examined the experience with the land use and travel forecasting models during the 1960s. Professor Boyce has rigorously formulated, implemented, estimated and validated large-scale, integrated models of travel behavior. Professor Boyce was an early innovator of in-vehicle dynamic route guidance systems, a principal element of the emerging field of Intelligent Transportation Systems. Beginning in the 1960s, Professor Boyce in various roles has provided institutional support and leadership to the Regional Science Association International (RSAI) in North America, Europe and Asia. For twenty years, he organized the North American Meetings of this academic society. He served as co-editor of a principal journal in the field of urban and regional research and as associate editor of the archival journal in the transportation research field. In addition, he has served on many editorial boards in regional science and transportation. In 1985, he directed a National Science Foundation workshop on transportation research. In recognition of his research and service contributions to the field of Regional Science, in 2000 he was awarded the Founder's Medal of the RSAI. In the same year, Professor Boyce received the UIC Inventor of the Year and the UIC College of Engineering Faculty Research Awards. In 2001, he received the University of Illinois Alumni Association Award for Teaching Excellence. Professor Boyce has published 150 books, book chapters, journal articles and reports during the past 35 years.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. Hai Yang at Tel.:
2358-7178
Please reserve your seat with Ms Rebecca Yau at Tel.: 2358-7164
Convergence of traffic assignments: How much is enough? Delaware Valley case study
Professor David Boyce
Professor of Transportation and Regional Science, Department of Civil and Materials Engineering, University of Illinois at Chicago
12 December 2001 (Wednesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 12 December 2001 (Wednesday)
Time : 5:00 - 6:00 p.m.
Venue : Room JG04, G/F, James Hsioung Lee Science Building, The University of Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
First, a review of the concepts, properties and performance of the Origin Based Traffic Assignment Algorithm for Infrastructure Networks (OBTAIN) invented by Hillel Bar-Gera will be presented. Second, a case study investigating the level of convergence necessary for application of traffic assignment algorithms will be presented. The case study includes comparisons of solution times between OBTAIN and the Frank-Wolfe method. A description of the case study follows.Daily traffic assignments to a large-scale road network were performed for Build and No-Build scenarios to evaluate the addition of two proposed ramps between I-295 and NJ 42 in the Delaware Valley Region. The road network consisted of 39,800 links connecting 1,510 zones. Stability of link flow differences between the two scenarios in the vicinity of the proposed ramps are examined over a broad range of traffic assignment convergence levels. Then, relative link flow differences are compared with a very highly converged solution for the same range of convergence levels. Examination of the plots reveals that a Relative Gap of 0.01 % (0.0001) is required to assure that the assignment is sufficiently converged to achieve stable link flows. These convergence levels are then interpreted in terms of the number of Frank-Wolfe iterations needed to achieve comparable Relative Gaps, as well as the amounts of computational effort required. Conclusions concerning appropriate assignment convergence levels are offered.
SPEAKER
Professor David Boyce is Professor of Transportation and Regional Science in the Department of Civil and Materials Engineering at the University of Illinois at Chicago. Before joining the University of Illinois at Chicago, Professor Boyce served as a faculty member at the University of Pennsylvania (1966-77) and the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign (1977-88). From 1988-1996, he served as Director of the Urban Transportation Center at the last university. Professor Boyce received the B.S. in civil engineering from Northwestern University in 1961, and the Ph.D. in regional science from the University of Pennsylvania in 1965. He also received the Master of City Planning degree from Penn. He is a Registered Professional Engineer in the State of Ohio. During 35 years of research and teaching, Professor Boyce has addressed many key methodological issues related to metropolitan transportation and land use planning. His early monograph, Metropolitan Plan Making, critically examined the experience with the land use and travel forecasting models during the 1960s. Professor Boyce has rigorously formulated, implemented, estimated and validated large-scale, integrated models of travel behavior. Professor Boyce was an early innovator of in-vehicle dynamic route guidance systems, a principal element of the emerging field of Intelligent Transportation Systems. Beginning in the 1960s, Professor Boyce in various roles has provided institutional support and leadership to the Regional Science Association International (RSAI) in North America, Europe and Asia. For twenty years, he organized the North American Meetings of this academic society. He served as co-editor of a principal journal in the field of urban and regional research and as associate editor of the archival journal in the transportation research field. In addition, he has served on many editorial boards in regional science and transportation. In 1985, he directed a National Science Foundation workshop on transportation research. In recognition of his research and service contributions to the field of Regional Science, in 2000 he was awarded the Founder's Medal of the RSAI. In the same year, Professor Boyce received the UIC Inventor of the Year and the UIC College of Engineering Faculty Research Awards. In 2001, he received the University of Illinois Alumni Association Award for Teaching Excellence. Professor Boyce has published 150 books, book chapters, journal articles and reports during the past 35 years.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. S.C. Wong at Tel.:
2859-1964
Please reserve your seat with Ms Patty Chung at Tel.: 2859-2668
Congestion pricing on a large urban road network
Professor David Boyce
Professor of Transportation and Regional Science, Department of Civil and Materials Engineering, University of Illinois at Chicago
10 December 2001 (Monday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 10 December 2001 (Monday)
Time : 4:00 - 5:00 p.m.
Venue : Room 3584 (Lift 27/28), Chia-Wei Woo Academic Concourse, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clearwater Bay, Kowloon
ABSTRACT
This study explores the application of marginal social cost pricing to a large-scale road network with a state-of-the-art multi-class, multi-modal combined model of travel choice. Four scenarios are considered: a. User-Optimal Route Choice; b. System-Optimal Route Choice; c. Travel Time tolls on all roads; d. Average Toll on all roads. Then, a fixed toll per mile on freeways that best approximates the System-Optimal solution is determined.The seminar will include a review of multi-class, multi-modal combined models for participants who may have missed the Dec. 6 seminar. The results obtained with this multi-class model are quite different than the conventional road pricing results for a single class model.
SPEAKER
Professor David Boyce is Professor of Transportation and Regional Science in the Department of Civil and Materials Engineering at the University of Illinois at Chicago. Before joining the University of Illinois at Chicago, Professor Boyce served as a faculty member at the University of Pennsylvania (1966-77) and the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign (1977-88). From 1988-1996, he served as Director of the Urban Transportation Center at the last university. Professor Boyce received the B.S. in civil engineering from Northwestern University in 1961, and the Ph.D. in regional science from the University of Pennsylvania in 1965. He also received the Master of City Planning degree from Penn. He is a Registered Professional Engineer in the State of Ohio. During 35 years of research and teaching, Professor Boyce has addressed many key methodological issues related to metropolitan transportation and land use planning. His early monograph, Metropolitan Plan Making, critically examined the experience with the land use and travel forecasting models during the 1960s. Professor Boyce has rigorously formulated, implemented, estimated and validated large-scale, integrated models of travel behavior. Professor Boyce was an early innovator of in-vehicle dynamic route guidance systems, a principal element of the emerging field of Intelligent Transportation Systems. Beginning in the 1960s, Professor Boyce in various roles has provided institutional support and leadership to the Regional Science Association International (RSAI) in North America, Europe and Asia. For twenty years, he organized the North American Meetings of this academic society. He served as co-editor of a principal journal in the field of urban and regional research and as associate editor of the archival journal in the transportation research field. In addition, he has served on many editorial boards in regional science and transportation. In 1985, he directed a National Science Foundation workshop on transportation research. In recognition of his research and service contributions to the field of Regional Science, in 2000 he was awarded the Founder's Medal of the RSAI. In the same year, Professor Boyce received the UIC Inventor of the Year and the UIC College of Engineering Faculty Research Awards. In 2001, he received the University of Illinois Alumni Association Award for Teaching Excellence. Professor Boyce has published 150 books, book chapters, journal articles and reports during the past 35 years.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. Hai Yang at Tel.:
2358-7178
Please reserve your seat with Ms Rebecca Yau at Tel.: 2358-7164
Validation of urban travel forecasting models combining origin-destination, mode and route choices
Professor David Boyce
Professor of Transportation and Regional Science, Department of Civil and Materials Engineering, University of Illinois at Chicago
6 December 2001 (Thursday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : 6 December 2001 (Thursday)
Time : 5:00 - 6:00 p.m.
Venue : W703, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
ABSTRACT
The formulation, estimation and validation of a combined model for making detailed urban travel forecasts is described. The model combines origin-destination, mode and auto route choices into a consistent forecasting method for multiple user classes for the Chicago Region. Household travel survey data and census data for 1990 are used to estimate and validate the model.This seminar will describe the findings of a four-year research effort to implement, estimate and validate a multi-class, multi-modal model of origin-destination, mode and car route choice at the same level of detail used by transportation professionals in the Chicago Region.
SPEAKER
Professor David Boyce is Professor of Transportation and Regional Science in the Department of Civil and Materials Engineering at the University of Illinois at Chicago. Before joining the University of Illinois at Chicago, Professor Boyce served as a faculty member at the University of Pennsylvania (1966-77) and the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign (1977-88). From 1988-1996, he served as Director of the Urban Transportation Center at the last university. Professor Boyce received the B.S. in civil engineering from Northwestern University in 1961, and the Ph.D. in regional science from the University of Pennsylvania in 1965. He also received the Master of City Planning degree from Penn. He is a Registered Professional Engineer in the State of Ohio. During 35 years of research and teaching, Professor Boyce has addressed many key methodological issues related to metropolitan transportation and land use planning. His early monograph, Metropolitan Plan Making, critically examined the experience with the land use and travel forecasting models during the 1960s. Professor Boyce has rigorously formulated, implemented, estimated and validated large-scale, integrated models of travel behavior. Professor Boyce was an early innovator of in-vehicle dynamic route guidance systems, a principal element of the emerging field of Intelligent Transportation Systems. Beginning in the 1960s, Professor Boyce in various roles has provided institutional support and leadership to the Regional Science Association International (RSAI) in North America, Europe and Asia. For twenty years, he organized the North American Meetings of this academic society. He served as co-editor of a principal journal in the field of urban and regional research and as associate editor of the archival journal in the transportation research field. In addition, he has served on many editorial boards in regional science and transportation. In 1985, he directed a National Science Foundation workshop on transportation research. In recognition of his research and service contributions to the field of Regional Science, in 2000 he was awarded the Founder's Medal of the RSAI. In the same year, Professor Boyce received the UIC Inventor of the Year and the UIC College of Engineering Faculty Research Awards. In 2001, he received the University of Illinois Alumni Association Award for Teaching Excellence. Professor Boyce has published 150 books, book chapters, journal articles and reports during the past 35 years.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Prof. William H.K. Lam at
Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Freda at Tel.: 2766-6051
Merging reality and virtuality - traffic simulation and on-road observations combined for emissions and congestion studies
Professor Michael A.P. Taylor
Professor, School of Geoinformatics, Planning and Building Director, Transport Systems Centre, University of South Australia
21 September 2001 (Friday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : September 21, 2001 (Friday)
Time : 5:00 - 6:00 p.m.
Venue : W703, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
ABSTRACT
This seminar will consider microsimulation modelling of traffic performance, greenhouse gas and air quality emissions, and comparisons with direct on-road observations from an instrumented vehicle. It will report on recent research on the likely impacts on traffic performance and emissions of ITS implementations for incident management and driver information. In new research the instrumented vehicle is being taken inside the simulation, to enable detailed investigations of driver behaviour under different traffic scenarios and events.SPEAKER
Professor Michael A P Taylor holds the Chair in Transport Planning at the University of South Australia in Adelaide, where he is the Director of the universitys Transport Systems Centre. His recent research activities are in modelling environmental impacts of road traffic (especially air pollution), assessment of the effectiveness of ITS implementations, modelling of traffic flows in dense networks, and transport network reliability.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Prof. William H.K. Lam at
Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Freda at Tel.: 2766-6051
Research in Freight Transport in Singapore
Dr. James Luk
Associate Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, Nanyang Technological University
4 September 2001 (Tuesday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil Engineering, The University Hong Kong
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : September 4, 2001 (Tuesday)
Time : 11:30 a.m. - 12:30 p.m.
Venue : Room 6-12B, 6/F Haking Wong Building, The University of Hong Kong
ABSTRACT
The efficient and safe movement of freight is vital to the economy of any country. However, research on the movement of goods has not attracted as much attention as the movement of people or supply chain management. The research at NTU aims to gain a better understanding of the freight industry. Two aspects will be discussed. The first aspect is on freight demand modelling. Freight trip generation and distribution models were developed for Singapore. The results suggest that it is feasible to use the gravity model for developing an origin-destination matrix on goods vehicle movements. There was not enough data to develop a similar model on commodity flows. The second aspect is on fright survey design. 440 companies were contacted and the return rate was poor. From the usable data, it was found that the use of IT (e.g. track-and trace, computerised routing, GPS) is still limited, and the key issues facing the local freight industry include traffic congestion and port operations.- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Dr. S.C. Wong at Tel.:
2859-1964
Towards Hybrid Online Dynamic Traffic Assignment Procedures for Network Traffic Management
Professor Hani S. Mahmassani
Professor, The University of Texas at Austin
17 August 2001 (Friday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : August 17, 2001 (Friday)
Time : 4:00 - 5:00 p.m.
Venue : W703, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
ABSTRACT
This presentation discusses current directions in the development of robust online dynamic traffic assignment (DTA) procedures to support advanced network traffic management through the provision of real-time route guidance information to users. After reviewing developments of centralized and decentralized dynamic assignment approaches for network routing under real-time information, their relative performance is contrasted through a series of numerical experiments, with a focus on robustness of the control decisions vis-à-vis various sources of error. A hybrid DTA (HDTA) approach is then described, consisting of a hierarchical routing decision process that provides careful interplay between a centralized predictive DTA model (CDTA) and a decentralized reactive DTA (DDTA) capability. The CDTA model supplies anticipatory a priori routing decisions, while the DDTA model generates locally-optimized solutions online. As such, the approach can exploit regular systematic demand patterns that can be forecast a priori with reasonable accuracy, while at the same time gaining robustness by retaining the ability to react rapidly to unforeseen conditions. The HDTA problem is modeled as a Stackelberg Game, in which the Centralized DTA model is considered as the game leader and the Decentralized DTA (DDTA) model is the follower. A key component of the methodology and analysis is a simulation-based algorithm that provides approximate solution for the assignment problem in a realistic size network. Experimental analyses are conducted to illustrate the performance of this hybrid approach, and investigate its properties.SPEAKER
Dr. Hani S. Mahmassani is the A. Abou-Ayyash Centennial Professor of Transportation Engineering and Professor of Management Science and Information Systems at the University of Texas at Austin, where he is also Director of the Advanced Institute for Transportation Infrastructure Engineering and Management. He specializes in transportation systems analysis and planning, network modeling, econometric techniques, demand forecasting and systems evaluation and decison support models. He received his PhD in Transportation Systems from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 1982 and MS in Transportation Engineering from Purdue in 1978. He chairs several technical and professional committees in the US and internationally, and is Associate Editor of Transportation Science, Transportation Research C (Emerging Technologies), and the IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems. He serves on the editorial boards of the major transportation journals. He is a past president of the Transportation Science Section of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences, and the President of the International Association for Travel Behavior Research.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Prof. William H.K. Lam at
Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Freda at Tel.: 2766-6051
ITS Research Activities for the Baltimore/Washington Corridor
Professor Gang-Len Chang
Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Maryland Co-Director, Applied Technologies for Traffic Operations and Safety Program (ATTAP) State Highway Administration of Maryland
17 August 2001 (Friday)
Jointly organized by
Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
and
Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
Date : August 17, 2001 (Friday)
Time : 5:00 - 6:00 p.m.
Venue : W703, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University
ABSTRACT
The presentation will be focused on illustrating on-going ITS activities in the ATTAP conducted by Dr. Chang for the Baltimore/Washington corridor. Major research projects to be discussed include: I-95/Route-1 traffic simulator for operations analysis; Design of optimal locations for a VMS network; Optimal distribution of emergency response units; Integrated signal and ramp control for non-recurrent congestion; Bus priority control on a progressive real-time signal network; and Assessing the benefits of an emergency response system.SPEAKER
Gang-Len Chang is a professor of Civil Engineering at The University of Maryland College Park. Dr. Chang has recently assumed the co-director position for the ATTAP program established by Maryland State Highway Administration. His recent research activities are mainly on the freeway traffic control, network signal optimization, design of a bus priority system, robust optimization for traffic control strategies, and application of cellular information for traffic surveillance.
- ALL INTERESTED ARE WELCOME -
For further information call Prof. William H.K. Lam at
Tel.: 2766-6045
Please reserve your seat with Freda at Tel.: 2766-6051